Market Analysis

A CryptoQuant report indicates that as of the end of March, Bitcoin’s “apparent demand” is -63,000 BTC, showing that the market has an oversupply situation, and institutional buying cannot offset retail selling. Starting in mid-2025, the giant whales began large-scale selling, pushing the market into a distribution phase. Although ETF institutional buying has increased, it has not been able to change the weak demand situation, and weakening domestic U.S. demand may further affect the market. Easing geopolitical tensions could become a catalyst for a short-term rebound.

From 2026-04-02 02:00 to 2026-04-02 02:15 (UTC), the BTC price fluctuated within the 66,858.6 - 67,355.0 USDT range. Over the 15 minutes, the return was -0.73%, and the amplitude reached 0.74%. During this period, market attention increased, short-term volatility intensified, and investors’ sentiment clearly shifted toward caution. The main driving force behind this abnormal move was that the key technical support level of $66,700 was broken, along with the RSI falling below 30, indicating that short-term momentum weakened rapidly and investors’ willingness to sell increased. Additionally, the market sentiment became more cautious, and trading volume showed signs of decline.

On April 1, at least five influential figures in the cryptocurrency space simultaneously posted farewell messages, declaring that they were leaving the industry permanently. The posts quickly spread across X, creating a wave of confusion as the community couldn’t clearly tell where the serious statements ended.

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly jumped to $68,589, and US stock markets rallied as investors reacted to US President Donald Trump's statements on considering options for ending the US and Israel-Iran war. Separate, unconfirmed comments attributed to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian also suggested that Iran

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped in the short term to $67,600. The U.S. Department of the Treasury launched a small consultation on regulatory guidance for stablecoins under the “GENIUS Act,” and the CFTC Chair said he is ready to regulate the entire crypto market. Amid market developments, spot Bitcoin inflows are slightly higher than outflows, and the CFTC and the SEC have signed an agreement to coordinate digital asset regulation.

From 2026-04-02 01:00 to 01:15 (UTC), the BTC return rate recorded -0.67%. The K-line data range was 67,639.7 to 68,595.1 USDT, with a range of 1.39%. During this period, market attention increased, volatility noticeably intensified, and investors’ trading behavior became more short-term. The main drivers of this unusual move were the concentrated withdrawal of leverage capital in the derivatives market and bearish sentiment taking the lead. Futures open interest fell by about $200 million in just 15 minutes, reflecting a faster release of leverage-related risk. At the same time, the funding rate turned negative, indicating that the bears had gained dominance.

U.S. President Trump plans to announce that Iran’s military targets have been achieved, the war is nearing its end, and the U.S. and Iran are in talks to negotiate a ceasefire. This situation is boosting market sentiment and pushing Bitcoin higher. K33 Research shows that Bitcoin ETF shorts have reached a historical high, and the market structure indicates signs that a bottom may be forming, suggesting a possible near-term uptrend.

From 2026-04-02 00:30 to 2026-04-02 00:45 (UTC), the ETH 15-minute candlestick shows a gain of +0.72%. The price range is 2137.74 to 2157.47 USDT, with a swing of 0.92%. The volatility is moderate, but as market attention to this unusual move increases, the interest in related market conditions and risk discussions also rises. The main driver of this unusual move is the convergence of multiple technical rebound signals and derivatives positioning at high levels. A long-legged doji on the monthly chart has formed, creating expectations of a trend reversal. On the daily chart, the RSI is already at 42, having dropped into the oversold zone. 4

Gate News message, April 2, according to Alternative.me data, today the Crypto Fear and Greed Index rose to 12 (the index was 8 yesterday), and the market is in an "extreme fear" state.

Shiba Inu is experiencing dual narratives: it's now recognized as a digital commodity, yet faces pressure from a high exchange influx and a drastic 98% drop in burn rate. While the price remains steady at $0.00000609, future movements depend on increased burn activity and market demand.

Market sentiment is rising despite a 25% decline, signaling early accumulation behavior. Macro factors like easing policy and weaker dollar support altcoin recovery potential. Infrastructure and narrative-driven tokens may lead the next market phase. The crypto market has plunged into a

Key Insights: Solana trades near $80 under pressure, with persistent lower highs and weak recovery attempts reinforcing a clear short-term bearish market structure. Analysts identify the $75 to $45 range as a key accumulation zone, supported by historical demand levels and long-term

Key Insights: Cardano trades below all major moving averages, reinforcing bearish pressure while price struggles to reclaim even short-term resistance levels across multiple timeframes. Whale wallets holding large ADA balances have steadily accumulated since February, reaching their

Cardano's price is stabilizing around the $0.245 support level amid market consolidation and declining momentum. The inability to break resistance at $0.268 raises concerns about upward strength. Meanwhile, development of the new node version 10.7.0 is in testing, promising enhancements for the ecosystem.

Key Insights: Dogecoin volatility has tightened significantly, with Bollinger Bands compressing to yearly lows, indicating a sharp price move could emerge within days. Rising futures volume and strong long positioning show traders anticipate upside, although repeated liquidations highlight r

The average transaction fee on the Bitcoin network has fallen below $0.40 for the first time since 2017, according to on-chain data shared by analyst Darkfost. The drop is markedly different from other times in the past when low costs were triggered by low usage, as it has come while daily transact

Key Insights Hyperliquid reached 5.4 billion dollars in daily volume, driven mainly by commodities, as traders shift toward platforms offering continuous access to markets. The HYPE price holds above EMA support while testing resistance, with momentum indicators showing gradual strength

PEPE's trading remains cautious with neutral RSI and weak MACD, indicating limited momentum and ongoing selling pressure. Oversold stochastic hints at possible short-term rebounds, but traders await confirmation before entering positions amid mixed signals.

Key Insights The Shiba Inu price rose about five percent as an hourly golden cross and higher volume signaled renewed trader participation and short-term momentum strength. Exchange outflows and rising liquidity suggest accumulation behavior among holders while reinforcing price stability

Cardano’s native token has been among the poorest performers in the past year, with on-chain data suggesting that ADA active wallets are down over 40% on their investments within this timeframe. However, this could actually be bullish for the underlying asset, especially when it’s combined with ano