Polymarket’s prediction data shows that the probability of the "Claude Mythos" model released in April dropped sharply to 28%, while the probability of the model released in June rose to 53%. Related contract rules require that the model must be confirmed only after following specific naming conventions and being made publicly accessible, and Anthropic also prohibits users from "free-riding" on Claude.

Gate News updates: On April 4, the Irish government officially launched the digital wallet testing phase on April 3. The wallet includes an age verification feature. According to a statement from Ireland’s Department of Public Expenditure and Reform, this digital ID will support social media platforms in verifying users’ ages, with the goal of protecting children and teenagers from online harms.

The Japan Financial Services Agency has issued “Policy Guidelines for Strengthening Cybersecurity for Crypto Asset Exchange Businesses and Related Entities,” with the aim of strengthening investor asset protection. It proposes a three-layer security framework to address the new landscape of cyberattacks. In subsequent plans, it will conduct penetration testing on major operators and revise the guidance to raise security standards.

Gate News update. On April 4, after the U.S. stock market closed, the Dow fell 0.13%, the S&P 500 rose 0.11%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.18%. The crypto sector was mixed: SBET fell 4.18%, MSTR fell 2.4%, TRON rose by more than 11.37%, and MARA rose by more than 8.33%.

A research report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC) notes that the Iran–U.S. conflict has pushed up oil prices, increasing inflation risks, affecting expectations for Fed rate cuts, and driving selling of gold ETFs. Geopolitical developments put oil prices at a crossroads, while the gold market is focused on how an economic downturn could affect it; in the future, it may reassess expectations for rate hikes. Demand for gold investment and prices may have room to rise.

In the first quarter of 2026, funding for crypto startups nearly reached $5 billion, down 16% year over year. Funds flowed into practical sectors, where prediction markets led the way, raising more than $1.7 billion. Top investment institutions are accelerating their entry, and major funding projects include Kalshi and Polymarket.

FTX/Alameda sold 6.94 million DRIFT tokens through Wintermute, raising about $320k. This liquidation took place after the Drift Protocol suffered a $285 million hack. The 8.33 million DRIFT tokens Alameda received from early investments have since seen their current value drop sharply, with the initial investment value falling significantly.

A certain account placed a $340k bet on a prediction platform, predicting that the 76ers would beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, with an opening average entry price of 6035¢. The game was held today, and both the 76ers and the Minnesota Timberwolves are ranked sixth in their respective divisions.

JPMorgan Chase’s analysis shows that in Q1 2026, digital-asset fund flows totaled only $11 billion, market momentum slowed, and the main sources of capital were corporate allocations and crypto venture capital; meanwhile, traditional investors’ participation declined, and the overall market exhibited the characteristics of being dominated by a few large players.

Cosmos ecosystem non-custodial wallet Leap Wallet announced that it will stop operating on May 28, affecting multiple services and features. Users need to re-delegate ATOM as soon as possible to avoid an interruption in earnings. Even though it is shutting down, the team still believes in the future of the crypto industry.