Kalshi taps Pyth as data provider for Commodities Hub, launching binary-event markets on oil, lithium, soybeans, with dozens of live contracts; emphasizes 24/7 price discovery beyond traditional exchanges. Abstract: Kalshi has named Pyth, a crypto oracle, as the data provider for its newly launched Commodities Hub, enabling event-based contracts on major commodities. Dozens of markets cover price moves in Brent, lithium, soybeans, and more, with binary bets on rising or falling prices. The platform argues that 24/7 price discovery is increasingly essential as geopolitical events unfold outside traditional exchange hours.

OpenAI nears a $1T implied pre-IPO via on-chain bets; SpaceX and Anthropic target similar valuations as AI infrastructure costs surge, driving subscription revenue while Anthropic faces pricing confusion.

Gate News message, April 22 — The U.S. dollar index has fallen approximately 2.3% from its March peak, marking its worst monthly performance since August 2025, as easing Middle East tensions reduce safe-haven demand and expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts intensify. Major financial

A trader with address 0x5c2 opened a CHIP short after its launch, accumulating 28.85M CHIP (~$2.43M) in 3 hours, while also holding a 1,400-unit short in xyz:SP500 (~$9.94M). Abstract: The note highlights a single address amassing CHIP shorts and xyz:SP500 short positions soon after CHIP's launch, suggesting concentrated bearish bets on both assets.

Prediction markets show stark wealth concentration, with 84.1% of Polymarket traders losing money, while just 0.04% hold over 70% of profits. Legislative efforts like the BETS OFF Act aim to regulate betting on sensitive events, as concerns rise over user protections amid the entry of major financial institutions.

A trader known as epsteinfiles has placed a $12,300 bet with Lookonchain, predicting that MicroStrategy will hold over 1 million BTC by December 31, 2026, with a flawless track record in past bets.

Gate News message, a newly created wallet named "bullseye123" spent $40K betting that Trump will announce the end of the US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 or April 18. The wallet holder is currently down $34K, representing an 85% loss on the position.

The White House warns staff not to use their positions to bet in prediction markets, especially by engaging in unusual trading activity before policies suddenly change. Accounts that have already profited more than $600k through prediction have drawn criticism, and critics suspect that someone used insider information to profit. The White House confirmed the authenticity of the warning.

As U.S.-Iran tensions ease, asset prices rebound. Some traders have predicted the market with pinpoint accuracy to profit from ceasefire gains, sparking discussion about insider trading. Although there is no evidence yet, frequent cases have challenged market fairness, and regulators have begun to pay attention. Polymarket has also updated its rules to strengthen market integrity. The industry faces a key question of balancing openness with compliance.

Cardano launches the Orion Fund in 2026, releasing 50 million ADA and shifting to an investment-driven expansion strategy. The fund size is $80 million, with the goal of activating Bitcoin liquidity, and the overall ecosystem expansion relies on the DeFi sector. At the same time, Cardano’s on-chain TVL target is $3 billion; stablecoin liquidity and real demand are key challenges.