January 26 News: The risk of a US government shutdown has sharply increased this week, with forecast market data showing the probability of a shutdown before January 31st has surged to approximately 78%, up from 10% three days ago. As Congress becomes deadlocked over funding for the Department of Homeland Security, risk aversion sentiment is rapidly spreading, and the Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index has fallen into the “Extreme Fear” zone, with Bitcoin and mainstream digital assets experiencing significantly increased volatility.
This uncertainty stems from the opposition between the two US parties over immigration enforcement and related budgets. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer stated that he would not support the current version of the temporary funding bill, citing the lack of constraints on ICE’s powers. DHS funding remains unresolved, meaning that once the deadline arrives, the operation of the federal government could be disrupted again. NoLimit pointed out that if data releases are forced to be interrupted, CPI and employment reports will be delayed, impacting Federal Reserve decision-making and market risk assessments.
The reaction of safe-haven assets has already been very evident. Gold prices have broken through $5,000 per ounce, and silver has also surpassed the $100 mark, indicating funds are flowing back into traditional defensive assets. Historical experience shows that during the 43-day government shutdown in 2025, precious metals significantly outperformed risk assets, while Bitcoin at that time retraced about 20%, highlighting its high sensitivity to liquidity and macroeconomic data.
Analyst Justin Wu believes that a shutdown not only means delays in wages and contracts but also freezes part of the financial system’s operations, thereby suppressing risk appetite. If the deadlock continues, GDP could be dragged down by 0.2% per week, and repurchase markets and money market funds could also come under pressure. In this environment, the crypto market is more susceptible to short-term emotional shocks and difficult to form stable buying interest.
Although Congress still has room to pass new funding or temporary resolutions to avoid a shutdown, as January 31 approaches, traders have already priced in a higher probability. For investors, paying attention to US fiscal and political developments will become a key variable in assessing Bitcoin and crypto asset trends.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
SpaceX holds approximately $603 million worth of Bitcoin, and in the same period recorded nearly $5 billion in losses due to integrating xAI.
Gate News update: April 12. SpaceX currently holds Bitcoin worth about $603 million. In the same period, the company recorded a nearly $5 billion loss due to integrating xAI. Despite the large loss, SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings have remained unchanged since mid-2024, with no signs of selling.
GateNews14m ago
The New York Times reignites the “Satoshi identity mystery”—Adam Back quickly clears things up after being targeted
Author: Nancy, PANews
Satoshi Nakamoto’s real identity remains the mystery that has persisted for 17 years in the crypto world. Speculation about this pseudonym has never stopped—candidates have ranged from cryptographers to corporate founders—but there has always been a lack of evidence to definitively settle the matter.
Recently, The New York Times published a multi-thousand-word investigation that, based on multiple comparisons drawn from linguistic style, technical pathways, and historical context, listed Blockstream CEO Adam Back as the strongest candidate for Satoshi Nakamoto. However, the claim was quickly and clearly denied by Back himself, and the relevant arguments were widely questioned by the industry as difficult to substantiate.
Satoshi Nakamoto identity controversy flares up again, with the investigation targeting Adam Back
In this investigation, The New York Times reporter John Carreyrou spent more than a year and a half deeply sorting through archives spanning decades, as well as the cryptographic punk email list, to
区块客1h ago
BTC 15-minute drop of 0.45%: Aggressive sell-side orders lead, layered with weakening liquidity at the margin, amplifying volatility
2026-04-11 23:00 to 2026-04-11 23:15（UTC）, BTC’s return over 15 minutes was -0.45%, and the price fluctuated within the range of 72907.4 to 73370.7 USDT, with a swing amplitude of 0.63%. During this period, market activity remains at a high level, but the price anomaly has drawn investors’ short-term attention. Overall trading sentiment is slightly cautious, and volatility is marginally higher than usual.
The main driver behind this anomaly is that active sell orders have a slight advantage, causing a short-term downward adjustment in price. Combined with a modest increase in trading volume for major trading pairs and spot
GateNews1h ago
