Yusfirah

#USMayPCEInflationRisesTo4.1%HighestIn3Years
US PCE Inflation Rises to 4.1% in May – Highest Level in Three Years
On June 25, the US Commerce Department announced that the PCE price index for May rose 4.1% year-on-year. This was the highest level seen since April 2023, surpassing the 3.8% increase in April.
Core PCE inflation (excluding food and energy) rose 3.4% year-on-year, reaching its highest level since October 2023.
The main reason for the rise in inflation was attributed to the conflict in the Middle East driving up energy prices. Although a ceasefire has been signed between the US and Iran, inflation is expected to remain high for some time.
Following the PCE data, expectations strengthened in the markets that the Fed may raise interest rates in July. As a result:
* The dollar index rose to 101.52, reaching its highest level in about a year.
* Gold prices fell to their lowest levels in about seven months.
The data showed renewed price pressures in the U.S., increasing the likelihood that the Fed will continue with tighter monetary policy; this supported the dollar while putting pressure on gold.

#WorldCup🇫🇷vs🇳🇴
⚽🇳🇴 Norway vs 🇫🇷 France — Can the Underdogs Shock the Group Leaders?
My Prediction: 🇫🇷 France to Win (2-0)
France have looked composed throughout the tournament and know that another victory could secure the top spot in the group. Their balanced attack, solid midfield, and defensive discipline make them favorites heading into this matchup.
Norway still have plenty to play for and will likely approach the game with energy and determination. They'll need to stay compact defensively and make the most of every counterattack if they want to challenge one of the tournament's strongest teams.
Tournament football is often decided by small moments, but France have consistently shown the experience and quality to control possession and capitalize on key opportunities. If they play to their usual standard, they should have the edge.
I'm expecting Norway to fight hard, but France's depth and composure could prove decisive over 90 minutes.
📊 Prediction:
France 2️⃣–0️⃣ Norway 🇫🇷🏆
‍#PredictWorldCupWin40000U
‍#法国VS挪威

#BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is currently trading around $59,700 after facing rejection near the $60.1K resistance zone. The recent bounce from $58.5K shows buyers are still active, but momentum remains limited until BTC reclaims the psychological $60K–$60.2K range.
🔹 Support: $59.5K | $58.9K | $58.5K
🔹 Resistance: $60.15K | $60.7K
A sustained move above $60.15K could open the door for another bullish leg toward $60.7K. On the downside, losing $59.5K may trigger a deeper pullback to $58.9K–$58.5K.
As long as Bitcoin remains trapped between support and resistance, patience is key. Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before entering a position, and always manage risk with proper stop-loss placement.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading

#StakeUSD1Earn9.48%APR
🌱 Wealth Isn't Built Only by Taking Risks—It's Also Built by Staying Consistent

When people think about investing, they often focus on finding the next asset that could double in value. While growth opportunities are exciting, I believe long-term success also comes from making smart use of the capital that's already sitting in your portfolio.
That's why yield-generating opportunities have become increasingly popular. Instead of leaving funds idle between market moves, investors are looking for ways to keep their assets productive while remaining ready for future opportunities.
What stands out to me is the growing emphasis on passive income within the digital asset space. Markets don't move upward every day, and there are periods when patience is the best strategy. During those times, earning a steady return on unused capital can become an important part of an overall investment plan.
I also appreciate solutions that prioritize flexibility. Financial goals change, markets evolve, and unexpected opportunities can appear at any moment. Having the ability to access funds while continuing to earn rewards gives investors greater control over their portfolios.
Another trend worth noticing is how investor behavior has matured over the years. The conversation is no longer focused solely on price appreciation. Today, many participants are paying closer attention to capital efficiency, portfolio balance, and sustainable wealth-building strategies.
Of course, every investment decision should be based on personal financial goals and a clear understanding of potential risks. No single strategy fits everyone, which is why diversification and careful planning remain essential parts of successful investing.
As blockchain technology continues developing, passive earning mechanisms are becoming a more established feature of the digital economy. They offer investors another way to put their capital to work without constantly chasing market volatility.
My Perspective: I believe the strongest portfolios aren't built through constant trading alone. They're built by combining patience, discipline, and smart capital management. Sometimes the quietest strategies create the most consistent long-term results, and that's a principle worth remembering in every market cycle. 📈✨

⚽ France, Spain, and Belgium are leading the pack, keeping the suspense of the knockout stage alive.
France's win rate is 82% — can Norway pull off an upset?
Spain's win rate is 89% — does Uruguay still have a window for a comeback?
Belgium's win rate is 95% — can New Zealand hold on to the underdog narrative?
Senegal's win rate is 80% — will Iraq disrupt the rhythm?
Heavy favorites are on the line, but that doesn't mean the outcome is set in stone.
Once the probability rises, you can also exit early to lock in profits.
👉 Join the World Cup betting carnival and share a 500,000 USDT prize pool: https://www.gate.com/zh/competition/football-2026

#美国年度净资本流入创8840亿新高 This core data shows that the "siphoning effect" of global capital on U.S. assets has reached an unprecedented intensity, which can be understood from several dimensions:
1. The dollar system remains highly attractive. The massive capital inflows indicate sustained strong confidence among global investors in U.S. stocks, Treasury bonds, and the financial system. April TIC data shows that official sector purchases have doubled since the beginning of the year, and private sector stock purchases hit a record high, indicating that both sovereign funds and private capital are increasing their allocation to U.S. assets.
2. Driven by technology and AI narratives. The strong performance of the U.S. stock market (especially AI-related tech stocks) is one of the core factors attracting capital. Global capital chases the "tech dividends" of U.S. stocks, pushing up the scale of net inflows.
3. But it also means that other global markets face capital withdrawal. The massive flow of funds to the U.S. implies that emerging markets such as Europe and Asia may face capital outflow pressure — posing downside risks to their local currency exchange rates and asset prices.
4. Potential "over-concentration" risk. Excessive concentration of capital in a single market, once the U.S. economy or policy shifts (e.g., interest rate changes, geopolitical conflicts), could trigger large-scale repatriation and a global market resonance shock.
Impact on the crypto market: Dual logic
Short-term: The siphoning effect may suppress the crypto market
The huge influx of capital into traditional U.S. stocks and Treasury bonds means that global liquidity has "preferentially chosen" traditional U.S. assets over alternative assets such as crypto. In fact, the IMF's Q1 2026 monitoring report shows that the total market cap of the global crypto market has fallen from a peak of $4.4 trillion in October 2025 to about $2.4 trillion, a decline of over 40%. Recent data also shows that institutional allocation to BTC through ETFs and futures markets has returned to the level of March 2025.
The tendency of capital to "choose stocks over coins" is particularly evident during the peak period of capital inflows.
Medium to long term: The spillover effect may again benefit crypto
Historical patterns show that after U.S. assets continue to absorb global funds, the dollar liquidity environment tends to ease, eventually generating spillover effects:
Dollar liquidity expansion → Risk appetite recovery → Capital spills along the risk curve into the crypto market
Pullback after overvaluation of U.S. stocks → Capital rotation from traditional markets to alternative assets.
Some analyses already expect that a correction in U.S. stocks in the second half of 2026 may drive liquidity back into digital assets, typically following the path of "first BTC, then large-cap altcoins, and finally more speculative assets."
Structural trend: The boundary between traditional and crypto is blurring
Notably, while $884 billion in capital inflows into the U.S., the channels between traditional finance and crypto are also accelerating:
The stablecoin market cap has reached a new historical high of $320 billion, and stablecoin trading volume reached $33 trillion in 2025.
The RWA (on-chain real-world assets) market has hit record highs for 10 consecutive months, reaching $28.9 billion in May, including $16.2 billion in tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds.
Giants such as BlackRock and Citi are building on-chain settlement infrastructure, and traditional capital is migrating on-chain in the form of tokenization.
This means that part of the capital flowing into the U.S. may ultimately operate on-chain in the form of tokenized stocks, tokenized Treasury bonds, etc. — traditional capital inflows and crypto market development are not completely opposing but are converging.
The record $884 billion capital inflow reflects the world's extreme preference for U.S. assets. In the short term, this "siphoning" suppresses the crypto market, with funds prioritizing U.S. stocks over alternative assets like BTC. But in the medium to long term, the spillover effect after liquidity expansion, capital rotation after U.S. stock valuation corrections, and the structural migration of traditional assets to on-chain tokenization could all become catalysts for the crypto market to regain capital injections.
Key observation points: when a significant pullback occurs in U.S. stocks, and whether the growth of stablecoins/RWA can continue to accelerate as a bridge for capital "onboarding" to the chain.

#BTC
Bitcoin has experienced a dramatic decline over the past several months, with the current price hovering around $59,800, representing a staggering 54% drop from its all-time high of approximately $126,000 reached in October 2025. This correction has pushed Bitcoin to its lowest level since September 2024, creating significant concern among traders and investors about the cryptocurrency's near-term trajectory.
Reasons Behind the Bitcoin Market Crash
The Bitcoin crash can be attributed to multiple interconnected factors that have created a perfect storm of selling pressure. First and foremost, capital rotation has played a major role. Institutional investors have been shifting funds from cryptocurrencies into artificial intelligence stocks and other technology investments. Philippe Laffont, the billionaire founder of Coatue Management hedge fund, explicitly stated he would rather bet on SpaceX stock quadrupling over the next 20 years or AI-backed businesses than Bitcoin. This sentiment reflects a broader trend where AI momentum has been sucking oxygen out of the cryptocurrency room.
Another critical factor is the persistent outflow from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows exceeding $182 million this week alone, marking the seventh consecutive week of negative flows. Total assets held in Bitcoin ETFs have plummeted from approximately $113 billion at the end of last year to just $77.5 billion currently. This institutional exodus has removed substantial buying support from the market.
Macroeconomic headwinds have also weighed heavily on Bitcoin. The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance due to inflationary pressures stemming from geopolitical tensions, particularly the Iran conflict. This environment has made risk assets less attractive to investors seeking safer havens. Additionally, the debasement trade that previously supported Bitcoin and precious metals has been unwinding, with gold dropping 28% from its January 2025 peak of $5,600 per ounce and silver falling more than 50% from its record highs.
The expiration of approximately $10 billion in Bitcoin options on Deribit has added further volatility to the market. Such large option expiries often trigger increased selling as investors close out positions or adjust their portfolios. The market structure bill known as the CLARITY Act faces a critical five-week window to clear legislative hurdles before Congress summer recess, adding regulatory uncertainty to the mix.
Technical Analysis and Key Levels
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has broken below its 200-week moving average, which many analysts consider a signal of bear market conditions. The current price action shows significant weakness across multiple timeframes. The immediate support zone lies between $59,600 and $59,970, which corresponds to the February 2024 low area. If this level fails to hold, the next significant support emerges around $57,000, with some analysts pointing to $49,000 as a potential measured move target in a full correction scenario.
On the resistance side, Bitcoin faces immediate selling pressure between $63,600 and $65,000. The next resistance zone sits at $66,000 to $67,000, with higher targets at $68,000 to $68,500. Many technical analysts have identified head-and-shoulders patterns and descending trends on the charts, suggesting continued bearish momentum unless Bitcoin can reclaim key levels.
The Relative Strength Index has been hovering in oversold territory, which typically suggests potential for a bounce. However, in strong downtrends, oversold conditions can persist for extended periods. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator shows bearish crossovers on multiple timeframes, with the 7-day moving average trading below both the 30-day and 120-day moving averages on 4-hour and daily charts. The Commodity Channel Index and Williams %R indicators are also flashing oversold signals, but price action has broken below the lower Bollinger Band at $59,999, indicating overall weakness rather than immediate reversal potential.
Will Bitcoin Fall Further
The probability of Bitcoin declining further remains elevated based on current market conditions. Several analysts have forecast potential drops to $55,000 before finding a sustainable bottom. The probability of Bitcoin falling below $50,000 in 2026 has jumped to 64% according to some market observers, while the odds of a move below $45,000 stand at 46%. These probabilities reflect the bearish sentiment dominating the market.
However, some factors could potentially stem the decline. Bitcoin's current bear market has been less volatile than previous crypto winters due to increased institutional participation and a larger, more liquid investor base. Sam Callahan from OranjeBTC noted that Bitcoin is not as volatile as in previous bear markets because the investor base has become more institutionalized. This structural change could mean smaller percentage declines even if the bear market continues.
One Week Forecast and Trading Strategy
For the upcoming week, traders should prepare for continued volatility with a bias toward further downside. The consensus view among market participants suggests Bitcoin will likely test the $60,000 to $60,700 support zone early in the week. A breakdown below this level could accelerate selling toward $57,000 to $59,000. Conversely, if Bitcoin manages to reclaim $65,000 to $65,500, a push toward $67,000 becomes possible, though this bullish scenario requires significant volume improvement.
The bearish view remains dominant, with most traders expecting resistance tests around $65,000 followed by pullbacks. A weekly close above $64,800 would be necessary to shift momentum toward a more neutral or bullish outlook. Until such a close occurs, the path of least resistance appears to be lower.
Traders are currently adopting defensive strategies, with many reducing position sizes and waiting for clearer signals before committing significant capital. Some experienced traders are looking for short-term bounces to fade, selling into rallies rather than buying dips. The head-and-shoulders pattern visible on multiple timeframes suggests measured moves could take Bitcoin significantly lower if the neckline breaks decisively.
Support and Resistance Summary
The critical support levels to watch are $59,600 to $59,970 as immediate support, followed by $57,000 as secondary support, and $49,000 as a potential measured move target. Resistance levels include $63,600 to $65,000 as immediate resistance, $66,000 to $67,000 as the next major zone, and $68,000 to $68,500 as higher resistance.
RSI and Technical Indicator Analysis
The Relative Strength Index on the daily timeframe has been hovering around 30 to 40, indicating oversold conditions but not yet reaching extreme levels that typically signal strong reversals. The weekly RSI shows more room for decline, suggesting the bearish trend could continue. The MACD histogram remains negative with the signal line above the MACD line, confirming bearish momentum.
The Bollinger Bands show Bitcoin trading below the lower band, which historically indicates oversold conditions. However, in strong downtrends, prices can remain below the lower band for extended periods. The Average True Range has been expanding, indicating increasing volatility which often accompanies major trend changes.
Trader Sentiment and Market Psychology
Current trader sentiment leans heavily bearish, with many market participants expressing caution about catching falling knives. Social media sentiment analysis shows predominantly negative outlooks, with fear and uncertainty dominating discussions. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has been hovering in fear territory, which can sometimes precede bottoms but also reflects genuine concern about further declines.
Experienced traders are advising caution, suggesting that the current environment favors patience over aggressive positioning. Many are waiting for a clear break of the downtrend or a successful retest of broken support turned resistance before considering long positions. The risk-reward ratio for new long positions remains unfavorable until clearer bottoming patterns emerge.
Long-Term Perspective
Despite the current bearish conditions, some analysts maintain that Bitcoin remains in a bull market correction rather than having tipped into a prolonged bear market. The mid to long-term forecast from some observers suggests Bitcoin could trade in a range of $110,000 to $135,000 eventually, though the timing of such a recovery remains uncertain.
The key catalyst for any sustained recovery would likely involve a combination of factors including Federal Reserve dovishness, successful passage of crypto-friendly legislation, renewed institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, and a rotation of capital back from AI stocks into cryptocurrencies. Until these conditions materialize, Bitcoin may continue to face headwinds.
Risk Management Considerations
For traders navigating this environment, proper risk management becomes paramount. Position sizing should reflect the elevated volatility and uncertainty. Stop losses should be placed below key support levels, and traders should avoid overleveraging in either direction. The current market conditions favor smaller position sizes and wider stops to account for the increased volatility.
Dollar-cost averaging strategies may appeal to long-term investors who believe in Bitcoin's fundamental value proposition, though even these strategies should be implemented with awareness that lower prices may be ahead. The key is to survive the current volatility with capital intact for when conditions eventually improve.
Conclusion
Bitcoin at $59,800 represents a challenging environment for traders and investors alike. The 54% decline from all-time highs reflects a combination of capital rotation, ETF outflows, macroeconomic headwinds, and technical breakdowns. While oversold conditions exist, the path forward likely involves continued volatility with a bias toward further downside until key support levels hold and resistance is reclaimed.
Traders should monitor the $59,600 to $59,970 support zone closely, as a breakdown could accelerate selling toward $57,000 or lower. Resistance at $63,600 to $65,000 must be reclaimed to shift the momentum. The coming week will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can find a near-term bottom or if further declines are in store. Risk management and patience remain the most important tools for navigating this challenging market environment.
@Gate_Square #BTCProbes60KKeySupportLevel #GateStocks7x24Trading #TradFiCFDGoldMasters

#USMayPCEInflationRisesTo4.1%HighestIn3Years
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge just delivered a wake-up call that no one in the financial world could ignore.
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index surged to 4.1% year-over-year in May 2026, marking the highest reading in three years and the first breach above 4.0% since April 2023. This is not just a statistical blip it is a structural signal that inflationary pressures have deepened significantly despite months of monetary policy tightening.
The month-over-month increase came in at 0.4%, matching April's pace and confirming that price growth is not slowing. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose to 3.4% annually from 3.3% in April, exceeding consensus expectations. That overshoot suggests underlying inflation remains broad-based rather than being driven solely by energy markets.
The broader macro backdrop is equally important.
The Middle East conflict throughout early 2026 pushed oil prices sharply higher, increasing transportation costs, manufacturing expenses, and consumer prices. However, the preliminary US-Iran peace agreement signed in mid-June and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have already pushed oil prices back toward pre-conflict levels.
Chris Zaccarelli, CIO of Northlight Asset Management, noted that inflation could begin easing as energy markets stabilize, but emphasized that upcoming inflation reports must confirm this trend before markets can regain confidence.
For the Federal Reserve, this report arrives at an uncomfortable time.
The Fed maintained interest rates at 3.50%–3.75% during its latest meeting while signaling that another rate hike remains possible later this year. Markets immediately shifted toward a "higher-for-longer" interest rate outlook, increasing pressure on equities, crypto assets, and other risk-sensitive investments.
Meanwhile, the U.S. economy continues showing resilience.
Consumer spending remains healthy despite elevated prices. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft increased 1.6% in May, reversing April's decline, while Q1 GDP expanded 2.1%. Weekly jobless claims also remain relatively low, indicating that the labor market has yet to show meaningful weakness.
For crypto investors, the latest PCE report creates a mixed outlook.
Persistent inflation strengthens Bitcoin's long-term narrative as a potential hedge against monetary debasement. However, expectations for tighter monetary policy continue reducing market liquidity and short-term risk appetite.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 13 (Extreme Fear) while Bitcoin continues testing the critical $59,000 support area.
The next several inflation reports will likely determine market direction. If June and July data confirm that recent inflation was largely driven by temporary energy shocks, investor sentiment could improve significantly. If inflation remains elevated, expectations for tighter policy may continue weighing on both traditional and digital assets.
One thing is becoming increasingly clear—the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target remains a distant objective, making every major macroeconomic release increasingly important for global financial markets.
Disciplined risk management, patience, and careful position sizing remain essential while macro volatility continues dominating market sentiment.
@Gate_Square