Defioasis

Kelp DAO theft has caused a significant impact on on-chain DeFi
Aave recorded its third-highest single-day net outflow in history, with over $5 billion flowing out on the Ethereum mainnet

Crypto Trading on Polymarket
Breaking down by trading volume, Non-Crypto event trades account for up to 75% of Polymarket's weekly trading volume.
Among the remaining 25% of Crypto event trades, 5-minute markets make up half of that; in terms of total volume, 5-minute markets account for 13%-18% of Polymarket's weekly trading volume.
For new prediction markets, quick and straightforward Crypto events are always the best entry point.

Predict Fun has recently experienced a significant increase in trading volume.
Over the past two days, the trading volume has remained around 50 million USD (nominal trading volume approximately 110 million USD), significantly higher than the previous daily average.
The number of new trading addresses has seen a new surge starting in mid-April, with about 400-500 new addresses per day.
Considering the previous abnormal single-day spikes, trading volume, and new addresses, is someone adding fuel to the fire?

Found Polymarket Skill in the lobster app store ClawHub
The download count has already ranked 10th
Currently, the download count has reached 114,000🤔

Printr v2's launch timing and pace are quite good, catching the market rebound
As a multi-chain Launchpad, Printr has had 660 Creators create over 1,500 tokens in the past two days
More than 20 tokens have graduated, with the best performer being BELIEF
Printr's Bonding Curve and token DEX trading volume also hit new highs, with trading volumes exceeding $10 million for two consecutive days
Meme Launchpad experiencing a second spring? Worth observing 🧐

Who’s script has crashed?
Predict Fun's trading volume today has surged to over $86 million (nominal trading volume exceeds $160 million), hitting a new all-time high.
Trading volume is concentrated in the Sports sector.
Further investigation shows that the “Golden State Warriors” in the 2026 NBA Championship event on this platform has a total trading volume of $176 million.

I have to say, Polygon really should give Polymarket a pat on the back.
Since entering 2026, the daily fees contributed by Polymarket to the Polygon network have never been below 50%.
In other words, Polymarket alone has supported half of the Polygon network's fees.

On-chain prediction market fees first surpass $10 million in a single week
Polymarket fees continue to soar, reaching $9.8 million, setting a new high, accounting for 96.9% of on-chain prediction market fees
According to that week's calculations, Polymarket's annualized fees have exceeded $500 million

Polymarket Builders 分发前端周交易量达 1.89 亿美元，大幅创下历史新高
交易量 >$5m 的 Builders：
- betmoar $61.47m
- PolyCop $19.74m
- WagerUpPilot $18.3m
- PolyTraderPro $10.19m
- Polymtrade $8.48m
- Kreo $6.27m
- Gate $5.73m
- StandTrade $5.7m
- Chance $5.36m
- Polygun $5.35m

After a month and a half, Predict Fun's daily trading volume has returned to 20 million USD (nominal trading volume of 40 million USD), accounting for nearly 70% of the BSC prediction market share.
However, the day's trading was mainly concentrated on the event "Will Bitcoin fall below 20k USD in April," with this single event's trading volume exceeding 18 million USD.
Currently, the total assets on the Predict Fun platform (including holdings and trader balances) exceed 34 million USD, with trader balances recently surpassing 15 million USD.

The intensity of Polymarket's Crypto 5-minute Up or Down market is evident.
As the most volatile trading market for bots, the number of daily trading addresses continues to rise steadily.
Recently, over 35,000 to 37k trading addresses compete within 5 minutes each day, consistently contributing over $20 million in daily trading volume.
The top trading addresses have already contributed a total of over $44 million in trading volume in the 5-minute market.

Polymarket Builders logs a day of record-breaking trading volume and trading users
A total of over 6,800 traders across 290 distributed Builders completed $33 million in trading volume
Of these, 10 Builders contributed more than $1 million in trading volume
Betmoar still leads Polymarket Builders’ trading volume, but its market share has fallen to about 30% as the number of competitors increases

Ghost story, Opinion's open interest has fallen to just above $10 million.
Opinion's peak open interest exceeded $150 million, decreasing by 93.5% over the past two months.

During the full week of March 30 when fees were fully implemented, Polymarket captured $6.8 million in fees, equivalent to an annualized fee of $355 million.
Meanwhile, Polymarket significantly boosted on-chain prediction market fees to over $7 million in a single week, of which it accounted for 96.8%.
Currently, Polymarket's daily fee capture remains stable around $1 million, and Taker trading volume continues to stay high with no obvious decline.

How high is the overlap between prediction markets and Perp DEX?
Polymarket has over 2.5 million user addresses (Owner behind Proxy)
Hyperliquid has over 660k user addresses
The intersection of their user addresses is 68.4k
Accounting for 2.73% of Polymarket user addresses and 10.25% of Hyperliquid user addresses
Just considering Hyperliquid, at least over 10% of Perp DEX users are also Polymarket prediction market users
Hyperliquid is working on HIP-4, and Perp DEX starting to develop its own prediction markets is a natural move.

Polymarket has entered a fully paid era, with costs rising significantly in recent days.
The latest full-day fee on April 1st was $927,000, and it is expected that daily costs may exceed $1 million in the coming days.
Based on the April 1st daily fee, Polymarket's annualized cost is equivalent to $338 million.

Suddenly realized it's been a long time since I checked the BSC prediction market situation.
- The BSC prediction market holdings are almost flat, with little inflow or outflow.
- Predict Fun has over $15 million in holdings, surpassing Opinion, which at its peak had nearly 7 times the holdings of Predict Fun.
- Fees used to be another point of pride for Opinion, but now its daily fee capture ability has fallen below that of Predict Fun.
- Only Predict Fun's daily traders remain in the thousands.
Summary: It's not dead, just cooled off.

Based on the Polymarket Trump China visit event prediction data, it appears the secrecy around the visit was quite well-maintained, as we haven't seen addresses with exceptionally large profits.
Over 13,000 Polymarket addresses participated in predicting the Trump China visit timing, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $10 million:
- 10 addresses had PnL profits exceeding $10,000, totaling $161,000 in gains; the biggest winner was WarriorPooh with a profit of $29,300
- Meanwhile, 8 addresses had PnL losses exceeding $10,000, totaling $206,000 in losses; the biggest loser was minisobaby wi

Prediction markets still come down to the two giants: Polymarket and Kalshi
Polymarket has maintained taker trading volume exceeding $1 billion for four consecutive weeks, reaching $1.15 billion in the past week to hit a new high
At the same time, Polymarket fees have reached new highs for three consecutive weeks, with weekly fees nearly reaching $2 million in the past week, accounting for over 80% of on-chain prediction market fees
On the other side, Kalshi has achieved taker trading volume exceeding $1 billion for six consecutive weeks, reaching $1.24 billion in the past week, also hitting a