NFTBigBanana

April 27 Crypto Market
🔹Strategy: Short + new high stop loss. Currently, trading is still driven by the news: the U.S.-Iran talks and Kevin Worsh taking the chair at the Federal Reserve. Unless the news plays out, it’s hard to break through.
🔹News: Iran is looking to open the strait first, then discuss its own nuclear issue. If the U.S. agrees, then this battle is pointless. With Kevin Worsh topping the Federal Reserve, there’s basically no obstacle. U.S. 2-year Treasuries fell on cue, and the market still believes Worsh is in the interest-rate-cut camp.
🔹Technical: Price has moved up

The current trading logic is very simple: the more Trump is in a hurry, the more you buy.

📶Bottom signal: ETH/BTC exchange rate divergence from the market trend
As shown in the chart, over the past 10 trading days, the ETH/BTC rate has been continuously declining, yet the market has moved upward against the trend, showing a divergence. This phenomenon is not normal.
Let's analyze: from April 8 to May 6, 2025, a similar phenomenon occurred, after which BTC soared from 76,000.
Under normal circumstances, selling the mid-tier while holding the leading asset (a declining exchange rate) indicates a cautious market, which would further turn bearish. But why is the exchange rate fa

April 23rd Cryptocurrency Market
The overall trend is strong, and it's predicted that a wave of short positions will explode
🔹News: The most influential factor on cryptocurrencies right now is still oil prices. But last night, all the bullish news for crude oil was out: US inventories below expectations, container ships in the Strait attacked, US Navy predicts a 6-month clearance of torpedoes
🔹Macro: US stocks opened high and continued to rise, with tech giants like Apple and Google leading the rally, but the Russell 2000's upward momentum has ended, falling for two consecutive days

April 22 Crypto Market
Trump’s bottom line is getting lower and lower. With no Iranian side showing up for talks, he himself announced an indefinite ceasefire. Meanwhile, on Iran’s side, they’ve been putting out signals that the U.S. is about to open the strait, and the news flow is leaning more positive.
From the chart, we’ve again reached the previous high at 78,000. During the rally, resistance is light, funding rates are hovering around 0, and trading volume is shrinking. The current resistance level is the Fibonacci 0.618 line (78,000). If it can break through, it could move up to 80,

That's awesome, are you about to ??😹

We need to change our perspective to view the outcome of the US-Iran conflict—
Trump said there are serious disagreements within the Iranian government; this time, he's not just talking nonsense. After Khamenei was taken out, Iran is now in a transitional period with the president, judicial chief, and senior clerics, and the internal power structure is quite complex.
Using Pakistan's "stalling" is a clear peace signal: before Iran became a theocratic society after the 1979 revolution, Iran and Pakistan were close allies and pro-American camps.
I think Trump's "postponed ceasefire" has de

A magical scene has appeared—
The U.S. stocks controlled by Trump are rising
Iran-controlled crude oil is rising
Only cryptocurrencies are sideways, so is this war again paid for by the crypto community?🥲

This month, the US retail monthly rate expected value reached 1.4%, hitting a new high in a year.
No wonder Trump is eager to negotiate; with such high inflation expectations, interest rate cuts are out of the question.
Data will be released at 8:30, followed by Kevin Waugh's Federal Reserve Chair nomination hearing at 10:00.
For short-term traders, remember to pause and avoid getting caught off guard.

Cryptocurrency Market on April 21
No breakout today, still trading within a range. Last night, the US stock market rallied to close, but after the close, cryptocurrencies dipped again. Currently, trading volume is extremely thin, liquidity orders are sparse, and cryptocurrencies lack confidence, entirely dependent on the US stock market’s mood. There will be no major trend today.
The ceasefire day announced by Trump last time, along with two negotiations, will probably not have a result until Thursday at the earliest. Until then, stay cautious. Use the range profit-taking method I mentione

Iran's spokesperson, too chaotic🥲
On the 19th at 2:00, Iran Revolutionary Guard - closing the strait
On the 20th at 15:19, Iranian parliament member - continuing talks with the United States
At 15:30, Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs - no plans for a second round of negotiations
Grok's answer is, the statement from the Iran Revolutionary Guard is more authoritative because they directly control the military, while the parliament is just a bystander. Keep going, let's go with the Air Force.

To make money in a volatile market, you must set a range-based take profit 🏑
This process involves two steps:
① Determine the trend and set a target: If you think it's a volatile market, be sure to have a short-term exit plan. Don't change your established goal just because you're in profit, or you'll end up holding a losing position.
② Break through resistance levels: With news controlling the market, the main players are not stepping in. Both bulls and bears are just retail traders fighting small battles; the real direction is in a critical tremor. Therefore, avoid holding positions at key

Cryptocurrency Market on April 20
If it falls below 73,700, go short accordingly. Iran denies negotiations twice, and emphasizes control over the Strait of Hormuz. The US-Iran “deadly weakness” is difficult to untangle; Trump is eager to end the war, and the talks have entered a long-term back-and-forth standoff, but inflation—this chronic killer—makes things hard for the US.
If the strait can’t be opened in the short term, it’s bearish.

April 18th Cryptocurrency Market
It seems that there are serious disagreements within Iran, and this situation is likely to trigger more positive news again.
The exact situation regarding the Strait of Hormuz is: conditional, temporary opening, meaning that during the ceasefire in Lebanon (before the 26th), commercial ships are allowed to follow designated routes, but the traffic volume will be far below normal levels.
The first wave of crypto rally last night actually came from the pre-market of the US stock market, and the second wave was Iran releasing positive news. Now, the US stock

April 17th Cryptocurrency Market
The main trend remains to look for rebounds to short.
The Iran negotiations will be a protracted battle, lasting at least over three months, which also explains why, even when the situation improves, crude oil has rebounded.
The dollar assets have lost the "safe-haven liquidity" benefit, pouring down from high levels.
The crypto market is now considered a "dollar-rich asset," so it is also a negative factor.

April 15th Cryptocurrency Market
The resistance at 74,700 for Bitcoin is very strong; look for opportunities to short within a small range, and see if 73,700 can hold.
The Strait of Hormuz is gradually reopening: the US has not fully blocked it, Europe is preparing to bypass the US to escort oil ships, and ultimately, it is highly likely that the market will tacitly accept this fact.
Crude oil has sharply retraced, gold has rebounded, and the US dollar has ended its seven-day decline.
The influence of war is waning; now, it's time to focus on the fundamentals.
Currently, the expectat

April 14 Cryptocurrency Market
Today’s main focus is waiting for a breakout to see if it can push upward! #BTC has reached 74,500 on the daily chart resistance level, also the highest in nearly two months. Based on the flow of funding fees and liquidation movements, bulls and bears are balanced. But US-Iran negotiations are moving in a positive direction. At least a ceasefire is confirmed, and two negotiations are underway, so a breakout upward is possible.
In major asset classes: Crude oil has offset the gains from the failed negotiations, and the yield on the 2-year US Treasury, which is

The scoop comes from this news—
New York Post: Iran is discussing abandoning uranium enrichment activities. Note, it's the New York Post, not The New York Times!
The New York Post is just a tabloid in the U.S., known for sensational headlines.

.#RAVE #Siren has already taken away several KOL friends, leaving nothing behind but scraps from the explosion...
I've observed for several rounds, and it's a bit difficult for "demon coins" to cut ordinary leek farmers; cutting KOLs is precise every time. You think you're a bit cool, but they just specialize in dealing with your defiance.