Ahao001

Suddenly I ran across a screenshot from 2020 of gold trading—gold at 1700. Back then, I was 20. I took the money I’d saved from working jobs and rushed into the financial markets. That year, I went through my girlfriend breaking up with me, a family member being hospitalized, and being liquidated in gold trading. I also had severe insomnia. I honestly didn’t know how I was going to get through it. Over the past six years, I learned countless techniques, but in the end I realized that technical skills don’t really matter that much. This market is driven by emotions. Opening a trade is like a sw

4/22 BTC Market Analysis
Everyone across the entire network is bearish on BTC. The shorts are getting squeezed—there are far too many people who are stuck in the mindset of “marking the boat and seeking the sword.” The chart/price action can’t keep falling. In the short term, it will definitely push up again. Everyone—get ready: if there’s a pullback, go long directly on the retest! It’s possible it won’t pull back much. They’re afraid retail investors will react. Put your stop-loss below 73000.

The ceasefire deadline is approaching in the past two days, and the US-Iran mouse trap is about to strike.
Ceasefire opens the Strait of Hormuz, BTC and gold rise, crude oil falls.
Conflict escalates, BTC and gold fall, crude oil rises.
If you see the news immediately, you can go long or short, but be sure to take profits; the market won't continue. If you don't see it right away, don't operate at all.

Because the 73,500 level has been tested too many times, if the orders here retreat, it will be very easy to break below. Still cannot chase long here, find some shorting ideas. The orders to short around 77,000 from a few days ago are still holding. If it breaks the previous high, continue adding short positions between 78-81! It’s very likely to form a double top followed by a big waterfall.
Support and resistance levels
Resistance: 77,000, 78,000-81,000
Support: 73,500, 70,500

BTC is perfectly following my expectations from a couple of days ago. When they called for a bull run, I was already bearish and saw the top coming. The recent rebound is the best opportunity to short. Once the downward trend begins, the next decline will at least bring it near 70,000.

The “big pie” (i.e., BTC) is meeting expectations and has already entered the red pressure level. I’ve already opened a personal short position. There’s a relatively high probability that it will continue to range-bound over the weekend. The direction will likely become clear next Monday. The current situation looks very similar to the weekend altcoin scenarios that have happened multiple times before: after a series of coordinated pumps, retail traders are very easy to get carried away, and once they’re trapped, they’re more likely to keep holding—leading to trouble. Stay alert, and have prot

Big Pie intraday support is 73,500 and 72,000, with resistance at 76,000
This is just a rebound in a bear market—don’t get overly excited. The rise is only for a better fall. Continue adding some short positions at the upper resistance levels of 78,000-81,000. 80,000 is the 0.31 resistance level on the weekly logarithmic scale—an extremely strong resistance level.
The bulls will start calling for a bull return, and the FOMO atmosphere will spread. The big test is here! As always, manage your risk well—live to the end, and you’ll be the one laughing last!

On April 15th, Bitcoin at 72,000 still has upward momentum as it hasn't fallen below that level. There are too many bears; a rise of two or three thousand points can take out a lot of bearish liquidity. It will only start a smooth decline when bears dare not short anymore. This week and next week, the main players will continuously accumulate liquidity below through various means until they can support the next wave of decline. This is just a rebound in a bear market. The resistance zone above at 78,000-81,000 is a very good point to open a short position.

Rave Conspiracy Theory
Ordinary small traders wouldn't do something like this
There must be a big conspiracy behind it
Since they've started, it won't end so quickly
It reminds me of trb—up by a hundredfold
Then it breaks out of the circle to attract new retail investors to enter
This wave of killing one and chasing longs may still continue to rise

Last week, BTC was blocked at the key resistance level of the illustrated Gann angle line and pulled back. Currently, it has reached a critical turning point in the market, and we are focusing on two levels:
1. On the illustrated Gann angle line at 8/1, BTC needs a four-hour volume-driven solid candlestick breakout (currently around 72,900) to have the possibility of creating a new high above 76,000.
2. If the daily closing price stays below the red line at 70,350, it will increase the likelihood of a top at 76,000.
Recently, I have been emphasizing— the rise from 60k is a rebound against the

Previously, two operational paths for BTC were distinguished: the red path—another high point above 76,000; the blue path—a rebound from 65,000 that does not break 76,000. The common point between the two is that after the rebound starting from 60k ends, the downward trend will continue. So the question is, has the rebound from 60k ended?
This week's market movement has once again added suspense. If today BTC breaks through the angle at the intersection of the two Gann angles (marked in red) and tomorrow morning's daily and weekly candles both close above this intersection, then there is a hig

Gold accelerated its rally yesterday after a temporary easing of the US-Iran conflict, but no sustained follow-through was seen afterward, which validates the view that "the rise here is essentially just a rebound." Specific historical events and news only accelerate the market’s pace but do not change its overall trend.
If the rebound from 4100 corresponds to the blue downward segment in the chart, then it has already met the basic requirements, meaning the rebound is about to end or has already ended. If the price then breaks below 4553, it confirms that gold will follow the blue route.
If t

BTC this morning experienced an upward surge due to news factors. Regarding the US-Iran issue, I think it's still a bit early to say it has been fully resolved. My impression is that it's more about delaying time rather than truly ending. We won't speculate too much on the specific reasons.
The rally from $60k in BTC is a rebound. Based on the rebound levels, two potential paths—red and blue—have been outlined for the subsequent trend.
Red Path: The rebound from $60k targets the entire decline from $126,000 to $60k. Under this path, a breakthrough above $76,000 is allowed to create a new high

Gold did not break below 4600 and experienced a sharp surge this morning driven by news factors.
Therefore, today's tweet has made a slight adjustment to the small-level analysis of gold, mainly based on the rebound level starting from 4100.
Red line: The movement of gold from 4100 is a rebound of the entire decline from 5600 to 4100. If it can break through the 4910-4930 level and stay above it in the near term, the likelihood of this route will increase. The subsequent rebound target for gold will be near the historical high, with 5300-5450 as a possible endpoint.
Blue line: The rebound of

At the moment, I believe the probability of BTC breaking above 76,000 in the short term is decreasing, unless a major historic event occurs—such as a breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations or a complete resolution of the Strait of Hormuz passage issue—after which it may be possible to push through 76,000. However, even then, this move that starts from 60,000 is very likely just a rebound. After the rebound ends, BTC still needs to break below. Based on this, my trading strategy in the near term is still mainly trend shorts, with short-term long orders as a supplement. There has never been a trad

The decline from CRCL136.6 is a correction. After the correction ends, CRCL will continue to rise.
Currently, it depends on whether it can quickly break through the 96.5 level. If it can break through and stabilize above the red resistance zone shown in the chart, the correction for CRCL may be over. Under this scenario, CRCL has been running from 83 in a rise at the same level as 49.6-136.6.
If it cannot break through 96.5 in the near term, then the move from 83 is a small-scale rebound. Once the rebound ends, CRCL will continue to move downward to find the end of the correction. Even if it f