Prediction Market

According to Odaily Seer, an account with a 41% historical win rate purchased $103,000 in Bayern Munich victory contracts on Polymarket on May 6 at an average entry price of 60.8 cents. The Champions League semifinal second leg between Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain is scheduled for May 7 at

According to The Information, Polymarket's U.S. business expansion has underperformed since its re-entry through acquiring a regulated derivatives exchange, with market share trailing competitor Kalshi. CEO Justin Hertzberg's responsibilities are primarily limited to regulatory document signing, wi

Blockchain.com has launched SnapMarkets, a platform for prediction market trading. The launch occurs as prediction markets surge, according to the source material. Regulatory Environment The expansion of prediction markets is taking place amid regulatory tensions. Prediction markets face

According to MetaversePost, Prophet launched an AI-powered prediction market today (May 6) with $10,000 in USDC allocated to live trading. Users can trade directly against an AI counterparty that generates probability-based pricing for each market, with some contracts settling within 24

According to Gate's prediction market data, MegaETH's first-day fully diluted valuation (FDV) is expected to fall between $1.5 billion and $2 billion. The ">$1.5B" option has generated approximately $2.18 million in trading volume with a "yes" outcome, while the ">$2B" option shows $9.057 million in

According to Trump's Truth Social post on May 6, President Donald Trump warned he would resume bombing Iran at 'a much higher level and intensity' if no peace deal is agreed. Trump stated he was temporarily halting US efforts to guide stranded vessels through the Strait of Hormuz to allow time for n

According to Odaily, Polymarket has added Telegram account login functionality to its platform. The new feature allows users to access the prediction market protocol using their Telegram credentials.

According to Foresight News, DeepBook, a DeFi protocol on the Sui blockchain, launched DeepBook Predict, a prediction market, on testnet. Developed in collaboration with options pricing service Block Scholes, Predict supports binary options, call, put, and spread options, as well as leveraged

According to ChainCatcher, Vitalik Buterin stated on X that prediction market quality depends fundamentally on their oracles. He expressed optimism about prediction markets increasingly adopting decentralized and non-financialized oracle solutions. Buterin added that the next development phase

According to an investigation published by National Public Radio (NPR) in the United States on May 5, a reporter went to the Panama headquarters address registered on Polymarket’s official site—21st floor, Oceania Business Plaza, Panama City—and found no traces of Polymarket or any of its Panama legal entities on site. The office at that address, Garcia de Paredes Law Firm, previously provided legal services to FTX.

According to The Block's report on MicroStrategy's Q1 2026 earnings call, the company plans to sell bitcoin to fund dividends for its high-yield perpetual preferred stock, STRC, marking a significant departure from its long-held "never sell" conviction. Chairman Michael Saylor stated that the firm's

According to Odaily Seer, an account that has profited over $12 million on Polymarket purchased $133,000 worth of positions betting on the Thunder to beat the Lakers by 15.5 points in Game 1 of the NBA Western Conference semifinals on May 6, with an average entry price of 50 cents. The game tipped o

According to ChainCatcher, Mustafa, a Polymarket team member, hinted in a community discussion that the POLY token launch may be coming soon. When asked about staking POLY to reduce trading fees, Mustafa responded with "soon," suggesting imminent progress on the token

According to Polymarket, Bitcoin is predicted to reach above $85,000 in May with a 61% probability, while Ethereum is expected to stay above $2,400 with a 92% probability. The forecasting market data shows investors maintain mixed expectations, with BTC facing potential downside risks of falling

MoonPay has acquired DFlow, a Solana-based execution layer, in a $100 million stock deal to expand beyond fiat conversion into trading infrastructure, according to the announcement. The acquisition gives MoonPay direct control over execution capabilities and marks a strategic shift deeper into

According to Odaily Seer, an account with cumulative losses exceeding $1.1 million purchased $100,000 worth of Thunder spread bets (spread -15.5) against the Lakers on Polymarket's NBA Western Conference Semifinal Game 1 prediction market, with an opening average price of 50 cents. The game is

According to ChainCatcher, Hyperliquid is currently testing new event contracts on its testnet, including 15-minute crypto price movement markets for bullish and bearish outcomes.

Polymarket completes its V2 upgrade, focusing on patching the Ghost Fill (phantom trade) vulnerability at its core. The abnormal fill rate has dropped from its peak of 30% to 0.17% and continues to decline. Ghost Fill is an attack where trades appear to be executed, but the funds have already been withdrawn. The new underlying structure improves consistency between trade execution and on-chain settlement, and strengthens defenses for LP rewards.