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Just came across an interesting take from a securities research team on where this bull market is headed, and it actually lines up with what I've been observing.
So the thesis is pretty straightforward: we're in a bull market cycle that's far from over. The comparison they're drawing is to May 1999, which is a wild parallel but makes sense when you look at the macro backdrop—persistent deflation, accommodative policy stance, and no signs of sentiment peaking yet.
What caught my attention is the breakdown of where we are in the cycle. We're transitioning from the second stage into the latter part, which means the recovery that's been concentrated in certain pockets is about to spread. That's when things get interesting for the broader market, especially once household capital starts flowing in more aggressively.
But here's the real shift worth watching: the tech rally is expected to transition from pure computing power infrastructure plays to actual application expansion. That's a meaningful pivot. It suggests we're moving past the infrastructure-only narrative and into real deployment and use cases. Meanwhile, traditional assets like consumer staples and real estate could see revaluation opportunities pop up—the kind of thing that happens when a bull market broadens out.
The policy environment staying accommodative through 2026 is the baseline assumption here, and honestly, that's the condition that keeps this bull market engine running. Without that, the whole thesis falls apart.
Interesting timing for this analysis. Worth keeping on your radar if you're thinking about positioning for the next leg of the bull market.