Simonon

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Everyone says crypto VC is dead.
Meanwhile some of the best founders I’ve ever met are currently raising at reasonable valuations, with real products and actual track record / revenue.
Crypto VC isn’t dead. Much more so is it a paradise for investors with conviction and a time horizon longer than that of a goldfish.
Ridiculous how little it takes to have an edge right now.
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Sure, Anthropic is cool, but have you heard of Hyperliquid?
It’s no secret how much revenue companies like Hyperliquid and Tether generate per employee, but I’m still blown away every time I see those charts.
I think people continue to underestimate just how quickly crypto companies can reach insane scale when executed properly.
Yes, we have structural issues as an industry that need fixing.
But this has always been, and still remains, the bull case for crypto:
Enabling the creation of the most productive companies in the world.
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gm to absolutely everyone except the CEX cartels and shady market makers.
At this point I’m pretty convinced they wouldn’t hesitate to destroy the entire industry they operate in just to squeeze the last few dollars out of it.
Someone has to stop them before it’s irreversibly too late.
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I don’t want to jinx it, but this chart looks like $BTC might just send straight to heaven without looking back ngl.
BTC1.39%
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In 10 years the people with the biggest edge won’t be the best software developers, data scientists or engineers.
They’ll be the ones with social intelligence, emotional depth and the ability to build genuine trust with other humans.
AI will commoditize every hard skill imaginable. But the good news is, it will never learn how to read a room, earn someone’s loyalty or make a person feel understood.
The most valuable skill of the future isn’t technical.
It’s human.
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This might be my single favorite chart and trend in the entire industry.
Slowly but surely, the DEX-to-CEX ratio continues to go up and to the right.
With every single basis point this increases, finance becomes fairer, more accessible, more transparent. And best of all, less extractive.
The job isn’t done until we reach 100%.
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Tokenization remains crypto's single greatest and most impactful use case.
Expecting this trend to continue until all of finance is accessible to anyone, from anywhere in the world, 24/7.
Quadrillions.
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GameStop odds vs onchain platforms like @Beezie and @Collector_Crypt when chasing grails:
$500 packs:
Powerpacks: 0.1% chance to hit a $4k–$8k grail
Beezie: 0.6% chance to hit a $5k–$12k grail
$1000 packs:
Powerpacks: 0.1% chance to hit a $8k–$16k grail
Collector: 1% chance to hit a $8k–$20k grail
Not only do Beezie and Collector offer more sought-after grails, your odds of hitting them are also 6–10x higher. And everything is fully verifiable onchain, while with GameStop you still have to trust that everything is fair behind the scenes.
On top of that, they’re globally accessible, whereas Pow
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Just spoke to a DePIN project whose token has been completely beaten down by market conditions, now trading at a single digit FDV.
Meanwhile, they’re sitting on an incredibly valuable dataset, with interest from all leading AI labs and a commercial revenue pipeline of $40M+, which is like 10x their entire FDV.
They’re committed to bringing the majority of that value back to the token via buybacks.
There are generational liquid opportunities out there for those actually paying attention.
This bear market is a blessing.
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Hyperliquid is probably one of the most underappreciated stories not only in crypto, but whole tech:
@chameleon_jeff built Hyperliquid from a TV screen in Puerto Rico.
Now he runs one of the most profitable companies on earth, barefoot, cross-legged, from a guarded office in Singapore.
- Started with $10k, grew it thousands of % annually
- Financially independent at 27
- self-taught Physics Olympiad gold medalist
- Rejected a $1B VC check, but decided to airdrop $16B to users instead
- $900M profit with only 11 employees
- Cleaning lady thought they made cat toys
My favorite quote: "We use cry
HYPE-0.22%
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Love the energy amongst early stage VCs right now. Chests out, showing their conviction on crypto founders while the rest of CT larpers is debating whether crypto is over.
Cycles come and go. But the people deploying at moments like this are the ones who actively shape the next one.
The best time to be optimistic on this industry is right now.
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A take on VCs, from a VC:
Most crypto VCs will not survive the next 3 years. And honestly, good riddance.
This industry has matured more in the last 12 months than in the previous decade. Real regulation. Real institutional adoption. Real revenue-generating products. Real founders building real businesses.
And yet most VCs in this space still operate like it's 2021. Only invest when they get ridiculous discounts, slap a logo on an announcement tweet, ghost the founder, wait for TGE and unlocks, dump on retail, repeat.
Zero conviction and zero value add. Many such cases.
Good thing is that this
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Unpopular opinion:
Crypto will outperform AI from here.
AI is the consensus trade by now. Almost every single dollar today flows into it at peak hype and absurd valuations.
At the same time, crypto is being priced like it's going extinct, while its fundamentals look stronger than they ever have.
Without a doubt, both are amazing technological revolutions that are here to stay. It's just that the best returns always come from the trade that feels wrong, not the one that feels obvious.
The crowd is rarely wrong about the what.
But it's almost always wrong about the when.
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Who the hell funneled $750B through Meteora last week lol
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The next 100x won't go to the person who found it first.
It'll go to the person who held it longest.
And that's why most of you will miss it.
Again.
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News from the past few days:
Iran reportedly accepting BTC payments for transit through Hormuz
France requiring individuals with over €5k in crypto holdings to report to tax authorities
Germany discussing restrictions on travel for military-age men
The world is getting more irrational, and governments are responding by pulling stronger and stronger levers.
At this point, it becomes increasingly irresponsible NOT to have exposure to crypto x privacy as a hedge against declining freedom.
ZODL
BTC1.39%
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Collector fundamentals vs $CARDS chart.
Not sure I've ever seen an opportunity in crypto this obvious.
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Since the Iran war started:
ETH up 17%
BTC up 9%
SP500 down -0.5%
Gold down -10%
The asset class most people gave up on has not only decorrelated, but also started outperforming.
Guess what comes next.
ETH1.21%
BTC1.39%
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Remember when I called Aster the insider ponzi it turned out to be?
Remember all the cabal accounts and KOLs going after me while shilling it to you for exit liquidity?
Well, Aster TVL down -67%, daily fees down -90%, $ASTER down -71%.
And based on current traction vs FDV, looks like it can still go infinitely lower.
Ponzi copycats are dead.
Long live Hyperliquid.
ASTER-0.41%
HYPE-0.22%
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