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CPI cooled. Inflation didn't.
The print most will celebrat today hides the number that actually matters. Core CPI MoM came in at 0.2%, under the 0.3% expected and down from 0.4%.
That's the soft, dovish number, and CT will run with it all afternoon.
Now the line they skip: headline CPI YoY accelerated to 4.2% from 3.8%, and core YoY ticked up to 2.9% from 2.8%. The month cooled. The year kept heating up.
A single soft month-over-month sitting on top of an accelerating year-over-year is not disinflation.
It's one data point against a warming trend, and one point doesn't reverse a direction.
S