ROWPartners

$STRC pounded again, hasn't been a good month
Put that aside, focus on today:
Heavy volume
Positive divergence on RSI & $ Flow
$6 Wick! = Yellow arrow >>> I want to focus on this!
Someone believes in Strategy!
Heavy buying came in the morning & had follow through
$MSTR

First time in over a week that the 4Hr chart shows oil trading above the RED moving avg
Crude is oversold, we likely get a nice bump here
There's been a battle since Wednesday, bears are no longer in full control, bulls are stepping up
$C $XOM $USO $WTI

Big drop on the $BTC 1Hr...
While the theme is overall bearish... The 1Hr might be bottoming...
Worth a risk? Maybe, volume is not great on the buys atm...
4Hr is oversold... so, maybe gearing for a bounce
Bitcoin

6 M Bond Yield, broke out days ago
1 Yr Bond Yield, broke out yesterday
Both had bottom forming Inverse Head & Shoulder patterns
3 M Bond Yield moving
Interesting enough, 30Yr weakening
10 Yr is retesting the Blue Mov Avg

1/2
Across every major index, momentum is fading at the same time $DJI $NDX $SPX $MID
RSI cooling
$ FLOW negative
Buys thinning
Leaders stretched
Breadth collapsing
This isn’t rotation, it's exhaustion
the market isn’t gearing up for a breakout
It’s gearing up for a reset

$BTC is just not there
While there's signs it wants to turn around, unless you have the stomach, it's best to stay away
At least until there's definitive signs
Excluding $ETH & Bitcoin, altcoins, are not so bad
Take out the bigs, & Crypto looks a bit better
What is propping?

1/2
$NDX $Q
The “tops start with heavy volume”
CMF (Money Flow) peak compression is real
20-23 peaks:
Long, high, sustained CMF surges
24-26 peaks:
Shorter, weaker, faster‑fading
This is classic momentum exhaustion & this means that there are 2 scenarios for Nasdaq 100

Interesting shift!
Large Crypto is struggling, with $BTC slightly stronger than $ETH $SOL & $XRP
But look at ALTCOINS!
$OTHERS (excludes top 10) & its market cap dominance chart show a massive divergence!
We haven't seen this in forever, smaller coins are showing life! 🔥

1/2
Spot $BTC is irrelevant, been for years, we've proved that over & over again
According to @coindesk, sold high 70's $2.5M BTC is nada, Bitcoin trades $20-40B daily in real liquidity, this was also WEEKS ago!
Many are asking why BTC is selling off.......

1/3
4Hr
$NDX still looks strong on the surface, but internals are flashing early warnings
RSI negative divergence since mid April
Friday’s RSI peak: 75.49 vs 75.62 prior high
💵Flow lower on higher prices
Heavy volume into the top
Rebalancing or not, it still matters
$Q

🧵
The Dow broke out above the 162 Fibonacci level, we've touched on this already
The next major level is the 262 Fib, 59Kish
In other words, $DJI is starting a new leg up
We see the BIGGER names running
$ORCL $MSFT $CRM

Big structural shifts happening under the radar for Critical Metals
$CRML erased its biggest drag
European Lithium’s 31% stake, constant block sale overhang is cancelled
Public float jumps, liquidity improves, & the cap table finally gets clean
This is how a real rerate starts

So many things are running
Already own these for a bit
$TMC inverse head & shoulder
Bullish if it breaks through, volume huge = +
$CLF, already broke out
Another Critical Metal is looking good $CRML
$NTLA Gene editing have been coiling for YEARS $BEAM $CRSP $CRBU $EDIT

There's talk of a huge $IBIT "dark pool sale"
Normally ETF's don't matter as they're SPOT Bitcoin
HOWEVER, @ 10:30 there was heavy selling
The buys tried to eat it up but couldn't
$BTC still has the Inverse Head & Shoulder formation going
We sold most before & are WAITING

The semiconductor index has struggled at the 262% Fibonacci level
$SOX also struggled at the 162% level
Last time the $SMH index took around 3 months & a little bit more than a 10% correction before breaking out

Look closely at the top 15 crypto right now
If someone showed you this lineup a few years ago:
$SOL $87
$ZEC $670 right outside the top 10
$HYPE in the top 10
You wouldn’t have believed them1
What’s the most surprising asset on this list today? 👇
$BTC
$ETH