DanielRomero

YTD returns are still at +73% following the recent drawdown
> You get more criticism for being up 73% after having been up 140% than you do for posting a steady 20% return
Makes no sense to me, but volatility isn’t for everybody

The sell-off in data center plays makes less sense by the day
Kimi being so cheap while still requiring roughly the same amount of energy leads to only one thing:
> More demand for intelligence and more demand for power
Intelligence becoming cheaper means...
> The bottleneck is energy
As Sam Altman said, the cost of intelligence will converge toward the price of energy
It’s happening in real time
And the closer we get to that being true, the greater the demand for access to energy becomes
Given this, why on earth would data centers sell off?
Of course, broad market momentum plays a role, but i

The whole Kimi/Mythos/Fable/Sol saga proves one thing:
Amodei is possibly the best marketer in the world
He made everyone talk about Anthropic as though it were some kind of superior entity with the key to solving the unsolvable
Turns out it was simply another model update

The market will bottom prob next week
People will look stupid for doubting this AI revolution yet again
It’s so easy to shake people out of their conviction
We didn’t even get a black swan event or anything
Retail will capitulate if it doesn’t see green for two straight days

How is it possible that I can do only 1/100 of the work with Fable that I can do with Sol?
How is OpenAI able to deliver so many more tokens at such a low price?
Anthropic’s prices are insane, and let’s not even get into Kimi and other open-source models...
I don’t understand how Claude’s pricing power can be durable

Semis selling off because of Kimi 3 makes no sense
I’m surprised we have to come back to Jevons paradox after all this time
I thought we were already clear on this after DeepSeek

> Every semiconductor company going up because of “bottlenecks” was stupid
> Every space company going up because of $SPCX and orbital data center hype was stupid
However,
Momentum doesn’t care about fundamentals. It pushes both the good and the bad up and down
That’s why so many great opportunities appear during cascading selloffs
The market doesn’t differentiate. It liquidates stocks in algo-driven clusters
What was overvalued becomes fairly valued, what was fairly valued becomes stupidly cheap
And that’s why big money is made by picking wisely during market flushes

This market is really testing AI bulls’ conviction
This is why having a cold mindset is so important as an investor
Either you build conviction or you’ll struggle to sleep
Every strong rally desensitizes people to gains and makes them hypersensitive to losses

$TSM released June revenue
> Monthly revenue reached a record NT$442.7 billion, up 6.2% MoM and 67.9% YoY
> First-half revenue reached NT$2.4 trillion, up 35.6% YoY
> Sequential growth accelerated throughout Q2
Analysts expect H2 2026 to outperform H1, supported by Nvidia Rubin, Google TPUs, custom CSP ASICs, new Apple products, continued 3nm demand, and expanding CoWoS capacity