DanielRomero

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Age 5.8 Year
Peak Tier 5
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Just published a new Portfolio Update
YTD returns still at +89.1%
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Just so you know:
The data center business model remains one of the most misunderstood
> Wall Street has mostly figured it out, but remains skeptical
> Retail remains largely clueless
This type of ignorance is what keeps prices attractive for longer
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Is Anthropic the largest $AMD deal?
The answer is no
> OpenAI: 6GW
> Meta: 6GW
> Anthropic: Up to 2GW
OpenAI and Meta have the largest overall commitments by far, with 1GW each committed to MI450 and the rest covering future generations
Anthropic has the largest explicit MI450-only commitment and receives an AMD investment instead of a warrant, which is much more favorable for AMD
It is not necessarily a smaller deal, just one covering a shorter time frame, while the others represent longer-term relationships
AMD1.42%
META-2.54%
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JUST IN
$AMD and Anthropic announced a strategic partnership to deploy up to 2GW of AMD Instinct MI450-series GPUs through AMD’s Helios rack-scale platform
The first gigawatt is expected to begin deployment in the first half of 2027, building on Anthropic’s existing use of MI355X GPUs
The companies will also collaborate on software, using Claude to optimize workloads for AMD hardware and accelerate ROCm development. AMD will adopt Claude across its engineering and product teams
AMD also committed to make a strategic equity investment of up to $5 billion in Anthropic
AMD1.42%
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Remember when Google released Gemini 3 Pro last year and everyone thought they were actually going to win the LLM race?
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> Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fund owns 5.6% of $NBIS
> $NVDA owns 9.3%
Smart money is clearly seeing something special here
On top of that, CEO Arkady Volozh owns 11.3% of the shares, giving him huge skin in the game as well
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$AMD MI455X is now confirmed to be selected by:
> OpenAI
> Meta
> Microsoft
> Oracle
Plus possibly Anthropic, which seems to be an open secret
Clearly, it brings something to the table, because these companies could use ASICs or $NVDA, yet they still want to bet on $AMD
AMD1.42%
META-2.54%
MSFT-1.85%
ORCL-0.93%
NVDA2.36%
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$NVDA is an investor in Revolut
Interesting that they’d go as far as investing in neobanks rather than simply buying back stock
That being said, Revolut is the best bank in Europe
NVDA2.36%
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Samsung P5 Phase 1 Nears $6.8 Billion in Equipment Orders
Phase 1 could begin operating in 2027
P5 will contain six cleanrooms across three floors and is designed to deliver more than 50% greater capacity than Samsung’s existing fabs
It will produce advanced DRAM and HBM, with foundry capacity also under consideration
Samsung holds approximately $99 billion in cash and short-term investments, $80 billion in net cash, and generated around $27 billion in operating cash flow in the first quarter alone
The company is in a prime position to deploy massive capex and take advantage of the current pri
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$KOSPI -4% to start the week
The KOSPI selling off after all the news we’ve had makes absolutely 0 sense
Much less such an aggressive sell-off
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You don’t get 30%+ drawdowns in AI companies during a bubble
It just doesn’t happen
> Either you think the bubble has already peaked and we’re experiencing the pop,
> Or you simply have to accept that we aren’t in one
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YTD returns are still at +73% following the recent drawdown
> You get more criticism for being up 73% after having been up 140% than you do for posting a steady 20% return
Makes no sense to me, but volatility isn’t for everybody
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The sell-off in data center plays makes less sense by the day
Kimi being so cheap while still requiring roughly the same amount of energy leads to only one thing:
> More demand for intelligence and more demand for power
Intelligence becoming cheaper means...
> The bottleneck is energy
As Sam Altman said, the cost of intelligence will converge toward the price of energy
It’s happening in real time
And the closer we get to that being true, the greater the demand for access to energy becomes
Given this, why on earth would data centers sell off?
Of course, broad market momentum plays a role, but i
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The whole Kimi/Mythos/Fable/Sol saga proves one thing:
Amodei is possibly the best marketer in the world
He made everyone talk about Anthropic as though it were some kind of superior entity with the key to solving the unsolvable
Turns out it was simply another model update
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The market will bottom prob next week
People will look stupid for doubting this AI revolution yet again
It’s so easy to shake people out of their conviction
We didn’t even get a black swan event or anything
Retail will capitulate if it doesn’t see green for two straight days
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Investors always wish they had bought more when the market is at all-time highs
→ Yet when a drawdown comes, there’s panic instead of an urge to accumulate
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The reason is that people see investing as gambling rather than business ownership
Irrationally, they get the same feeling as when they bet on a football team and it’s down 2–0 at halftime
You get the shivers
Luckily, investing in stocks has nothing to do with that
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You’re acquiring an equity stake in what hopefully is, or will become, a cash-generating machine
→ There’s no fixed deadline
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The only reason memory is trading lower is that the market is still in denial about the pricing power
“Hyperscalers won’t spend 40% of their capex on memory.”
“Hyperscalers won’t accept memory suppliers earning 85% gross margins.”
It’s cognitive dissonance at this point
There isn’t even an argument or any supply-and-demand analysis
It’s just denial of reality
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How is it possible that I can do only 1/100 of the work with Fable that I can do with Sol?
How is OpenAI able to deliver so many more tokens at such a low price?
Anthropic’s prices are insane, and let’s not even get into Kimi and other open-source models...
I don’t understand how Claude’s pricing power can be durable
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Open-source models improving gives tremendous power to neoclouds
This is what many people don’t understand
> $NBIS, for example, only offers open-source models through its managed inference platform
> It allows enterprises to fine-tune and deploy open models for internal workloads much more cheaply than using the OpenAI or Anthropic APIs
As open models improve, demand for this infrastructure increases
The GPU supply remains the same. The number of valuable workloads competing for that supply rises
That increases utilization, strengthens pricing power and gives neoclouds, especially leading one
NBIS0.54%
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Semis selling off because of Kimi 3 makes no sense
I’m surprised we have to come back to Jevons paradox after all this time
I thought we were already clear on this after DeepSeek
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