DanielRomero

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Age 5.8 Year
Peak Tier 5
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> Every semiconductor company going up because of “bottlenecks” was stupid
> Every space company going up because of $SPCX and orbital data center hype was stupid
However,
Momentum doesn’t care about fundamentals. It pushes both the good and the bad up and down
That’s why so many great opportunities appear during cascading selloffs
The market doesn’t differentiate. It liquidates stocks in algo-driven clusters
What was overvalued becomes fairly valued, what was fairly valued becomes stupidly cheap
And that’s why big money is made by picking wisely during market flushes
SPCX-3.73%
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This market is really testing AI bulls’ conviction
This is why having a cold mindset is so important as an investor
Either you build conviction or you’ll struggle to sleep
Every strong rally desensitizes people to gains and makes them hypersensitive to losses
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$NBIS just announced that it will fully transition to post-quantum encryption either this year or next
It’ll be interesting to see who its partner will be
NBIS-13.84%
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> Rubin is on track
> $META is doubling data center deployments in 2027
> Anthropic is close to profitability
> OpenAI 5.6 compute can’t keep up with demand
> $ASML beats estimates, while $TSM raises capex
What is keeping the market down at the moment?
The Iran war? Rate-hike fears?
This doesn’t seem like a structural, fundamentally driven drawdown to me
It looks more like a temporary dip within a stronger upcycle
META-2.46%
ASML-2.40%
TSM-2.32%
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$SPCX becomes interesting around $70
I don’t know how you justify buying $SPCX instead of $META at the same market cap
Just as a random example, $META generates $130B in annualized OCF
How long will it take $SPCX to generate that?
5 years?
SPCX-3.14%
META-2.46%
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It’s surprising how lightly everyone is taking the fact that trillion-dollar companies are undergoing an almost bear-market-like correction
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$TSM released June revenue
> Monthly revenue reached a record NT$442.7 billion, up 6.2% MoM and 67.9% YoY
> First-half revenue reached NT$2.4 trillion, up 35.6% YoY
> Sequential growth accelerated throughout Q2
Analysts expect H2 2026 to outperform H1, supported by Nvidia Rubin, Google TPUs, custom CSP ASICs, new Apple products, continued 3nm demand, and expanding CoWoS capacity
TSM-2.32%
NVDA-2.36%
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What could drive memory prices lower?
Some industry insiders believe it's a change in product specifications
“Wu Jinrong, general manager of MicroDrive Technology, warned that supply-and-demand distortions leading end customers to adjust product specifications are more likely to cause memory prices to turn in the second half of 2027 than capacity expansion.”
I agree, yet it’s not happening
There’s no way memory content can be designed down enough for that to occur
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Interesting
The market may be greatly overestimating how much new memory supply is coming
“Recent supply chain reports suggest that SK Hynix’s actual new memory production capacity in 2028 may be only one-sixth of the amount initially planned.”
SK Hynix-11.52%
SKHY-13.53%
SKHYV-0.98%
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Dumb headline
The ADR has nothing to do with SK Hynix’s current price movement on the KOSPI
The solana:SKHYhSjuRWHgikq8eRKbtBbpABgJSkd7ytQV14i9EQ3 ADR is currently trading at a 32% premium, assuming it stays flat when the US market opens (it won’t)
This dump isn’t “euphoria cooling down” at all
SK Hynix-11.52%
SKHYV-0.98%
SOL-2.47%
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Honestly, the whole “delay” thing is getting tiring
“CPO is delayed.”
“800V is delayed.”
“Kyber is delayed.”
“Rubin is delayed.”
Remember all the news we got about Blackwell being delayed and having terrible manufacturing problems?
It ended up being delayed by three months
Big deal
I wish we could focus more on the technology itself and less on largely irrelevant release timing
KNC-1.44%
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Morgan Stanley names $NVDA a top pick with a $288 price target
Analysts expect the company to generate $20.50 in EPS in FY29, implying a 14× FY29 earnings multiple at the target price
NVDA-2.36%
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The sentiment shift on $META is ridiculous
It shows that most people form their opinions just based on vibes
Recency bias is at ATHs right now
META-2.46%
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Who bought the $MU dip?
It got below $900 just two days ago
$MU gives you the returns of a microcap and the volatility of a small cap, all at a $1.1T market cap
MU-5.45%
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DuniaForexCrypto:
Take the opportunity and generate
While the market fears excess compute after the $META news…
$META is reportedly planning to double its data center deployments to 14GW in 2027, up from around 7GW in 2026, per Reuters
Massive acceleration
Now ask yourself: what kind of demand are they seeing to justify that level of capital investment?
META-2.46%
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BofA estimates $NVDA annual shipments add up to 99 GW of data center capacity by 2030
That is solely for NVIDIA hardware
Add ASIC and $AMD deployments, and you could get to over 150 GW of installed capacity
So, so bullish for energy and data center plays
NVDA-2.36%
AMD-5.29%
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$SKHY is over 7 times oversubscribed
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SEMIANALYSIS: Anthropic To Reach $1B in Operating Profit in Q3
This is extremely bullish for the AI supercycle if true
Would be the first solid confirmation that investing in AI compute can, in fact, be profitable
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SEMIANALYSIS: Anthropic To Reach $1B in Operating Profit in Q3
This is extremely bullish for the AI supercycle if true
Would be the first solid confirmation that investing in AI compute can, in fact, be profitable
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BofA believes cheaper Chinese open-weight models are bullish for semis
By lowering the cost of intelligence, they expand usage and broaden deployment, increasing demand for compute, memory, networking, and power infrastructure
The bigger risk is to model economics, not semiconductor demand
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