Alkind

SM News:
🟥 LATEST| NEWS RESULTS
•USD |UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (MAY)
Previously: 4.3%
Forecast: 4.3%
•Current: 4.3%
•Result: as expected
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🟥 LATEST| NEWS RESULTS
•USD | AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS (MoM) (MAY)
Previously: 0.2%
Forecast: 0.3%
•Current: 0.3%
•Result: as expected
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NEWYORK SESSION🇺🇸
US30 Companies Are More Negative
USNAS100 Companies Are More Negative
U.S Sectors Overall More Negative
Net Impact on U.S. Stocks🔽
$XAUUSD $XTIUSD $BTC

Gulf hostilities flared anew on Wednesday, with the U.S. military saying Iranian missile ​attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait and other regional targets were either thwarted or failed, as diplomacy between Washington and Tehran showed little progress.
Two Iranian missiles shot at Kuwait fell short ‌or broke apart in flight, while several ballistic missiles aimed at regional targets failed and three missiles heading for Bahrain were intercepted, U.S. Central Command said.$XTIUSD

U.S. oil prices jumped nearly 8% Monday, after Iranian state media said Tehran will halt talks with the U.S. and completely close the Strait of Hormuz in response to Israeli attacks in Lebanon.$XTIUSD

The U.S. said it struck Iranian military sites at ‌the weekend and Iran's Revolutionary Guards said on Monday it had targeted a U.S. base in response, the latest exchange of attacks amid negotiations to end the three-month-old war.
The U.S. and Iran have sporadically exchanged strikes since their ceasefire took effect in early April as diplomacy aimed at a more durable agreement drags on. A similar exchange occurred last ​Thursday and was described in near-identical terms by both sides.
$XTIUSD

OIL RISES AS U.S. AND IRAN TRADE STRIKES, ISRAEL MOVES FURTHER INTO LEBANON
Oil prices rose more than 2% on Monday after Iran and the U.S. traded ‌strikes and Israel ordered troops to move further into Lebanon in the battle with the Tehran-backed Hezbollah militant group.
$XTIUSD

President Trump's discussion in the Situation Room lasted nearly two hours, but he did not achieve an agreement on a new deal with Iran, according to a senior administration official who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations. - NYT
The administration feels it is near to reaching an agreement, but other issues remain unresolved, notably the unfreezing of Iranian funds, according to the official. - NYT$XTIUSD

🔴 LATEST: President Trump is headed into the SITUATION ROOM to make a final determination on Iran
The US Naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz has been LIFTED, per President Trump

Based on Trump's statement, this is an even stronger de-escalation signal than the previous headlines because it suggests:
• Hormuz Strait fully reopened
• Naval blockade lifted
• Water mines removed
• Iran cooperating on uranium removal/destruction
• Nuclear agreement framework largely settled
• Trump discussing final approval rather than military escalation
SM MARKET DIRECTION ⚡️
⬆️US INDICES — Bullish Trend
⬇️OIL Bearish Trend
⬆️GOLD Bullish Trend
⬇️USD Bearish
⬇️TREASURY YIELDS
$XAUUSD $XTIUSD

SM MARKET REACTION ⚡️
TRUMP ON IRAN:
“I’m okay with Iran suspending its nuclear program for 20 years, but it has to be a real commitment.”
This statement is generally seen as a de-escalation / negotiation signal, because Trump is saying he is open to a long-term suspension deal if Iran gives a “real commitment.” That reduces immediate fears of direct escalation or military action.
MARKET DIRECTION ⚡️
the first market reaction would likely be:
⬆️ Indices (US30 / SPX / NASDAQ) → Bullish
• De-escalation signal supports risk appetite
⬆️ Gold → Slight Bullish / Volatile
• Current market structure s

TREASURY YIELDS EASE AS ENERGY COSTS DRIVE HOTTER U.S. INFLATION PRINT
Treasury yields fell on Thursday as investors mulled the implications of April’s hotter-than-expected producer price data for Federal Reserve interest rate policy.
💬 The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the key benchmark for U.S. government borrowing — was down over 1 basis point to 4.465%.
💬 The 2-year Treasury note yield, which more closely tracks short-term Federal Reserve interest rate policy, was over 1 basis point lower at 3.975%.
💬 The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was also 1 basis point lower

Hezbollah Deputy Chief: US, Israel Seek to Subjugate Lebanon
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem said the US and Israel are attempting to bring Lebanon under their control as part of a so-called "Greater Israel," vowing resistance will continue until victory.
NATO's Rutte says he is 'extremely optimistic' about the future of NATO.
🔴U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Tuesday as a rally in chip stocks lost steam and hopes for a quick resolution to the Middle East war faded, while investors looked ahead to a key inflation report.
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🟥KEY ECONOMIC NEWS & DATA TO WATCH TODAY
Stay alert! Here are the critical events and data releases that could shake the markets:
⏱15:30 | USD
CPI (MoM) (Apr)
Core CPI (MoM) (Apr)
CPI (YoY) (Apr)
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$XTIUSD
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent: We discussed with PM Takaichi President Trump's trip to Beijing.

🔹A year ago, U.S. President Donald Trump predicted that towering trade tariffs would bring America's main economic rival to heel.
He heads to China this week with that ambition blunted by court rulings, narrowing his goals to a ​few deals on beans, beef and Boeing , opens new tab jets, and enlisting China's help to resolve his unpopular Iran war, political analysts say.
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OIL PRICES RISE AS FRAGILE US-IRAN TALKS SUSTAIN SUPPLY WORRIES.
Oil prices rose nearly 1% on Tuesday as talks ‌to end the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran appeared fragile, with Tehran's response to a Washington proposal highlighting stark differences that have kept supply concerns alive.
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