$BTC After the breakout of the falling wedge, price struggled to push higher, which led to a retest of the zone I previously explained must hold for any bullish case.



This zone indeed held up, and price bounced almost 5% after retesting it and the descending trendline of the wedge.

For me, the technical price target of 69K-70K remains likely.

However, we are currently in an interesting situation where it looks pretty bearish from an order flow perspective, as I explained yesterday, but potentially bullish from a technical analysis perspective.

What we also can’t forget is that on the higher timeframes, we are still in a downtrend which hasn’t been invalidated yet.

My bias remains more bearish than bullish. Although order flow looks bearish, it’s not an immediate reversal signal but rather a sign of increasing weakness. It wouldn’t surprise me if this rally continues for a bit longer, but I still expect a reversal soon.
BTC-0.25%
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • 1
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
PrivateKeyInAGlassBottle
· 07-11 14:29
After a wedge breakout, the pullback held; the 69–70K target is still possible, but the downtrend on the higher time frame hasn’t been broken, so I’m bearish.
View OriginalReply0
StargazingWithAMirroredSphere
· 07-10 10:33
A 5% rebound looks impressive, but can the volume keep up? Without a volume increase, it’s just a bull trap—I’m bearish here.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-7e77b8d8
· 07-10 10:30
A market where both the technical targets of 69–70K and a weakening order flow are present is best suited for reducing positions and waiting, and then acting once the direction becomes clear.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-4d2d061e
· 07-10 10:28
Order flow is bearish and technical patterns are bullish; this contradictory situation is most likely to produce a fake breakout—be cautious.
View OriginalReply0
GweiGossip
· 07-10 10:22
The downtrend on the higher time frame is the real boss—before it breaks, every rebound is just a retracement leg. Those who get it naturally get it.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pinned