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$BTC In the past two cycles, Bitcoin bear markets only lasted two consecutive 6-month candles before a major uptrend.
The current 6M candle closes tomorrow.
Will history repeat for a third time?
BTC-0.82%
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GateUser-46033407:
The sample size over two cycles is a bit small, but the trend followers are already FOMO.
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The last glance before bed was still grinding, and waking up gave the bears the answer directly! 📉😎 A few days ago in the early hours $BCH it repeatedly tried to push upward, looking somewhat strong at first glance, but if you look closely, it was all fake: no volume on the rise, weak bounce, and soft resistance upon contact above.
At that time, I wasn’t watching whether it was green or red, but rather whether BCH had sustained buying after going up 👀 Before the market had fully kicked off, several pullbacks couldn’t hold, so I judged this was a heavy trap for longs and signaled to operate
BCH0.82%
BTC-0.84%
ETH-0.35%
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Gotta say, this wave really delivered. 🎉
A few days ago before sleep, the chart was still swinging in a small range, many people were easily worn down into impatience, but I was watching the key levels and bid support, not looking for an immediate pump.
During the intraday basing, $BEAT repeatedly retested around 1.0013, didn't break, instead the support underneath got more solid 📌 after selling pressure lightened, I signaled to go long. At such levels, you need to watch the rhythm, don't get carried away by emotions.
When it's time to profit, don't act indifferent.
Now the current
BEAT-4.01%
BTC-0.84%
ETH-0.35%
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Don't you just love it—smashing like that is really stress-relieving! 📉🔥
A few days ago, in the early morning, $BTC was still testing high levels back and forth, with many people eyeing a small bounce to get in. What I saw was the opposite: rising without volume, clear resistance overhead, and every push lacking momentum—this kind of market structure is too weak.
Right before bed, I took one last look at BTC's support level 👀. The price wobbled, but buying was not resolute; no one caught the drop. So my thinking was simple: wait for it to fail to push higher, then go short. The entry w
BTC-0.84%
ETH-0.35%
SOL1.22%
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market update
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Isn't it weird how investors are turning their backs on commodities in 2026?
Inflation hasn't been fixed. Money is still being printed at absurd levels. US debt is racing toward $40 trillion. So what's changed? What are the markets seeing that we're not?
2026 Returns YTD:
- Oil +23%
- Stocks (SPX) +6.6%
- US Dollar (DXY) +3%
- Gold -6%
- Silver -20%
- BTC -31%
SPX-3.68%
BTC-0.82%
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#USMayPCEInflationRisesTo4.1%HighestIn3Years
The PCE Shock: Why 4.1% Inflation Just Rewrote the Fed's Playbook
The numbers don't lie—and this time, they're screaming.
On June 25th, the Commerce Department dropped a bombshell that Wall Street had been dreading: US PCE inflation hit 4.1% year-over-year in May, the highest reading since April 2023. Core PCE, the Fed's preferred metric (the one they actually watch), climbed to 3.4%—the steepest since October 2023.
If you were hoping for a soft landing narrative, this data just punched a hole in it.
The Energy Wildcard
Here's what makes this inf
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6.29 Midday BTC/ETH Market🍜 Shiyuan's View
After the drop, low-level consolidation and repair; when will the pivot point appear?!
After continuous sharp drops hitting stage lows, short-term stabilization led to a small rebound, but long-side momentum is severely insufficient, no reversal structure has formed, currently just oscillating consolidation during the decline, overall major trend remains weak.
4-hour chart continues to be suppressed in a narrow range, multiple rebounds met resistance and fell back; the key level above is 61000, a firm hold above can reverse the short-term weakness, i
BTC-0.82%
ETH-0.33%
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$ONDO - sitting on a weekly 20 SMA (blue line) after the rejection from the upper Bollinger band. It's been that line in the sand for determining the trend.
So far, as it's finding support there, it's still bullish
ONDO-0.32%
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A few days ago it was acting dead, and today it gives the result directly. 📢
When I opened the chart this morning and saw this $SLX candle, it really woke me up, but the consolidation phase earlier was the key — not something I only understand now.
A few days ago, in the early hours while I was watching the charts, SLX kept hovering around 0.20378, but the key level never broke, and the downward moves had no follow-through 📌 I judged that this wasn't weakness — it was a washout, so I reminded to open a long.
Some money isn't made through impulse.
Now the price has reached 0.60074, l
SLX-1.96%
BTC-0.84%
ETH-0.35%
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From losing 430k to recovering, $CAP almost broke me again.
Last month I chased this thing high, cost 0.038, woke up and it dropped to 0.019, cut losses at 110k. At the time I thought the narrative was strong and the contract was fierce, but the whales just slammed you with data. Now I'm watching the chart and recalculating — current 0.0233, 24h down 20%, volume 18.2M, down 30% from yesterday. Two key levels: low 0.0228 didn't break the previous low of 0.0216, but the bounce didn't hold above 0.025 either.
Operation plan in three tiers: First, if it retests 0.0225 without breaking and volume r
CAP-20.25%
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$ID | 1h | Breakdown Retest Short
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: 0.03320 to 0.03345
Stop Loss: 0.03410
Targets:
TP1: 0.03210
TP2: 0.03110
TP3: 0.02990
Invalidation:
Close above 0.03410
Why This Setup:
I’m treating this as a continuation short after the clean downside trend and failed bounce into prior support. The market is pressing lower with weak recovery candles, so I want a retest rejection for another leg down into liquidity.
ID-6.45%
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Every time someone asks me, "Is this the bottom?" I say the same thing: wait for the black swan.
In 2014, Mt. Gox; in 2018, the ICO collapse; in 2022, LUNA, Three Arrows Capital, and FTX imploded one after another. Every bear market bottom has been accompanied by a blow-up, and in this cycle, one hasn't happened yet.
The drop in May 2026 was already the third wave since 1011. According to the cyclical pattern, it is likely the last wave.
Next, we need to watch two things: whether the U.S. stock market is truly correcting, and whether MicroStrategy can hold up. The Fed's stance on CPI could wip
LUNA-1.25%
BTC-0.82%
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Just a few days ago, it was acting strong, but today it's showing its hand! 🔥📉 When the price was grinding higher during the session, $MBOX it looked lively, but I wasn't watching whether it was green or red—I was watching if there were takers on the way up.
A few days ago before bed, I was watching MBOX. Several rebounds were suppressed, receiving was weak, volume didn't follow, and the overhead resistance was very obvious 👀 So I wasn't misled by the fake breakout. Instead, I went short near 0.010935 with a bearish mindset.
Now it's gone from 0.010935 to 0.001301, a return of +4242.83% ✅�
MBOX-2.84%
BTC-0.84%
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Don't rush to cheer, but this wave was indeed nailed! 😎📉
A few days ago in the early morning, $ADA was still grinding at a high level, seemingly able to push higher, but in reality the volume wasn't keeping up — the higher it went, the fewer people were buying.
During the session while it was grinding at the top, I watched very closely. ADA's bounces were getting weaker each time, and the overhead resistance wasn't really eaten 👀 The judgment at the time was simple: chasing longs at this level felt uncomfortable, while the short-side profit-taking window was clearer, so I followed the plan
ADA-1.10%
BTC-0.84%
ETH-0.35%
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This one came out, and the chart directly shows its true colors! 🔥
When I opened the chart this morning, $JTO it completely cashed in on the frustration from the past few days. The longer the price was suppressed before, the more decisive the breakout.
A few days ago in the early morning, I was watching for low-level support, not whether emotions were chaotic. JTO repeatedly retested around 0.8284, but the key level held, and selling pressure didn't increase. I suggested opening a long position back then, don't wait until it pumps to regret 👀
That's the rhythm.
Now the price has reached 0.8
JTO4.36%
BTC-0.84%
ETH-0.35%
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SUPOOORT ME EVETYOEN
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CryptoRubi:
To The Moon 🌕
The last glance before bed was still grinding, but I woke up to a direct takeoff! 🚀📢 To be honest, this kind of market is the most difficult to deal with. A few days ago, in the afternoon, it looked quiet, but the low didn't break, so I knew I couldn't just focus on the surface.
While everyone was still on the sidelines, KAITO pulled back and held steady, and the bottom consolidation didn't break through 📌 The buying wasn't a single rush but slowly accumulated. I suggested going long at that time, looking at this change in absorption 👀
Don't fear it grinding; fear you panicking first.
From
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40X on $ELON SHEEESH
New ATHs going insane take profits as always
40X on this and 500X on $ANSEM can’t be stopped😂
ELON-3.32%
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$RAVE must say enough to oneself
RAVE20.02%
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