The Opta supercomputer is reasonably positive about the chances of the three co-host nations, suggesting all of them are likely to produce solid – albeit not necessarily spectacular – tournaments.



France became the sixth team to win as hosts in 1998, but no side has accomplished the feat since then.

If there is to be a shock host success, then our model is most optimistic about USA.

Given they are playing in the tournament’s most competitive pool, Mauricio Pochettino needs his team to start strongly. They are narrow favourites (32.8%) to top Group D, with their opponents being Paraguay, Türkiye and Australia.

If they get out of that tight group, further progress in the knockouts is possible.
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