Analysis: Bitcoin Enters Final Accumulation Window of This Cycle, Potential Drop Exceeding 40%

AirdropBlackHole · 2026-04-02T08:59:00+00:00

Alicharts reported that Bitcoin has dropped 52% since October 2025, with a 3-day SMA crossover indicating a potential final accumulation window in 3-6 days. Historical trends show this crossover typically signifies buying opportunities, with targets between $30,000 and $40,000 before the next bull market.

AirdropBlackHole

2026-04-02 08:59:00

Abstract generation in progress

On April 2, analyst Alicharts reported that Bitcoin has fallen 52% since its peak in October 2025. A 3-day SMA crossover signal (death cross of the 50-period and 200-period SMAs) was observed on February 27, and this has persisted for 30 days. Historical patterns suggest that the final accumulation window of this cycle may occur within the next 3-6 days. Alicharts noted that historical records show that every major cycle since 2014 has seen the 50 and 200 SMA crossover marking absolute bottoms and golden buying opportunities. Previous cycles indicate that a final drop of 40-52% typically occurs 23-33 days after the crossover, completing the bear market washout. The potential washout target for this cycle is between $30,000 and $40,000, after which the next bull market is expected to begin.

BTC-3.14%

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