Ethereum Analysis

Short-term (1 week–1 month): Consolidation and fluctuation: Prices may move within the 2,000–2,200 range, watch for macro data (such as CPI, Non-Farm Payrolls) affecting risk appetite. Key events: April Federal Reserve meeting, Ethereum core developer conference (may reveal progress on sharding). Medium to long-term (3 months–1 year): Upward drivers: Full deployment of Ethereum 2.0 sharding, further reduction in transaction costs. Growing expectations for ETF approval, inflow of compliant funds. Revival of DeFi/NFT/RWA (real-world asset tokenization) ecosystems. Downside risks: Increasing global regulation (such as SEC classification disputes over cryptocurrencies). Macroeconomic recession leading to risk asset sell-off. Target price reference: Optimistic scenario: If sharding and ETF progress smoothly, potentially reaching 3,500–4,000 by the end of 2026. Neutral scenario: Maintain consolidation with upward trend, target 2,800–3,200. Pessimistic scenario: Under regulatory black swan events or macro crises, may retreat to 1,500–1,800. V. Trading Recommendations Short-term traders: Range trading: Buy low and sell high within 2,040–2,160, strictly set stop-losses (e.g., below $2,000). Watch for breakouts: If volume breaks above 2,200, consider going long; if it falls below 2,000, beware of further decline.