PresidentOfTheUnitedStates

Hong Kong April 30th, 12:11 PM, ETH Market Analysis
Long-term cycle (weekly/daily): Bearish momentum is strong, no bottom formation has appeared; Wm% and volume confirm.
Mid-term cycle (4 hours): Consolidating slightly bearish, waiting for direction confirmation.
Short-term cycle (1 hour): Oversold rebound, may bounce first then fall.
The three cycles are not resonating, only supporting a 4H level rebound to defend against shorting.
Main direction leans bearish, but downward elasticity and structured rebound after oversold conditions must be considered simultaneously.
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Hong Kong, April 29, at 12:15 PM, ETH market outlook analysis
In line with the current trend structure: long-term bullishness on daily timeframe and above, and a short-term pullback below 4H
The latest data for the Fear and Greed Index is 26 (extreme fear). This often means that the retail crowd is excessively bearish, which becomes a backdrop for major players to set up a target on shorts.
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Hong Kong April 28th, 8:13 PM, ETH Market Analysis
Large, medium, and small cycle directions are inconsistent; the long-term cycle is weak, the medium cycle clearly shows a bearish structure, and the small cycle has localized oversold rebounds.
Resonance strength is moderate to weak; logically, the trend should follow the principle of above daily chart levels—that is, respecting the current 4H and daily bearish framework, mainly adopting a strategy of shorting on rallies, with testing key support levels as a secondary, low-risk position.
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Hong Kong, April 27, 20:45, ETH market trend analysis
Large, medium, and small timeframes are not in sync:
Large timeframe: Neutral with a slight bias toward ranging/oscillation; structure is still acceptable.
Medium timeframe: Clearly bearish, but the range is compressed.
Small timeframe: In an oversold area; in the short term, it is inclined to rebound or stay sideways.
The lack of synchronization across the three timeframes means: market compression is intensifying; wait for a volume expansion breakout to choose direction. In trading, strictly follow the principles of trend and direction at

Hong Kong, April 27, 12:20 PM, ETH Market Outlook Analysis
Three-cycle resonance judgment: The weekly level is forming a bullish ascending triangle bottom + a MACD golden cross (the macro cycle is generally bullish). The daily level’s MACD golden cross is continuing and has held above the key moving averages (the medium cycle is turning bullish). The 4H level has established a golden cross, but the RSI is overbought (the small cycle longs are overheating). The current three-cycle system shows the first upward resonance signal. This is the most important qualitative change in the analysis logic

Hong Kong, April 26th, 20:24 (evening), ETH market outlook analysis
Three-cycle resonance judgment: The major cycle is still in the late stage of a deep correction (not yet turning long). The medium cycle is in the critical zone of “bear exhaustion - bull-bear transition.” The small cycle shows structural breakout signals, but due to volume divergence and overbought pressure, there is a risk of a false breakout. At present, there are no full-position long conditions for “three-cycle upward resonance,” but the probability of a medium-term turn has clearly improved compared with the earlier peri

Hong Kong, April 25th, 12:29 PM, ETH Market Analysis
Three-cycle resonance judgment: Currently, there are no conditions for a three-cycle upward resonance to buy; the long-term trend is bearish, the medium-term is weakly recovering, and the short-term is narrow-range oscillating. Resonance to the upside requires the daily MACD to lead with a bullish crossover.
The main strategy is to go short on high (rebound near the middle band to sell), based on profit-loss ratio and risk control. Do not chase gains or cut losses within the range.
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Hong Kong, April 24, 20:33 PM, ETH Market Price Action Analysis
After the market experienced a panic sell-off (Selling Climax) at the low of 2285, bullish sentiment became extremely pessimistic, while retail long positions still remain as high as 56%. This forms a stark contrast with the holdings of top traders, which are nearly balanced. This structure of “retail bullishness and top-tier calm” often leads to a stronger rebound after luring and clearing out retail long orders.
Three-cycle confluence summary: Daily bullish momentum is fading, 4H is dominated by a bearish dead cross, and the 1H

Hong Kong, April 24th, 12:34 PM, ETH Market Analysis
Long-term trend (daily level): Bearish dominance
Mid-term trend (4H level): Bearish but with signs of recovery
Short-term trend (1H level): Bottoming and consolidating
Three timeframes: Daily trend is bearish, 4H is bearish but recovering, 1H is gently bottoming out, mainly focusing on rebounds and high short positions, be cautious with light long positions, avoid chasing shorts.
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Hong Kong April 23rd, 8:31 PM, ETH Market Analysis
Three-cycle resonance: Daily chart Bearish, 4H Bearish, 1H Weak rebound but no change in direction
Three-cycle resonance is bearish, mainly high short positions, secondary small long positions, strictly set stop-loss.
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Reference Bearish
2343—2367 (Follow the trend, prioritize trading)
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Reference Bullish
2280