BTC Update × BTC/Gold Time Cycles

I just noticed a very interesting time pattern on the BTC/Gold chart.

When Bitcoin is priced not in USD but in gold, bear market bottoms show surprisingly consistent timing.

In the 2017 cycle, BTC/Gold peaked in December 2017 and bottomed around February 2019, with an interval of approximately 13.7 months.

In the 2021 cycle, BTC/Gold peaked around October 2021 and bottomed around January 2023, with an interval of approximately 14.5 months.

Now looking at the current cycle,

The last major high for BTC/Gold appeared in August 2025. Since then, the ratio has entered a clear downtrend, which is clearly visible on the chart. From the August 2025 high to today, only about 10.8 months have passed.

If this cycle also follows the 13.7–14.5 month window, then the true bottom window for BTC/Gold is likely to fall around October 2026. This aligns with the time windows given by almost all other structures.

So, even if Bitcoin sees short-term rebounds in USD terms, we know that this cycle may still need more time before a true bottom forms.

That's why October remains the most reasonable macro bottom window, right before the US midterm elections.

That's also why I always tell people I'm going all in in October.

So yes, don't be lured in by these small-scale fluctuations trying to catch every minor move.