THREE WORLD CUP KNOCKOUT GAMES TODAY, AND A BIG Upset LOOKING LIKELY

The Round of 32 has delivered, and we’ve got three massive elimination clashes on our hands, each with the potential for a massive upset. Let’s take a look where to get your money on the board today:

ENGLAND vs DR CONGO (LIVE NOW in Atlanta, ENG -850 to advance)

It’s hard to look past the Three Lions to win, even after they showed a few jitters against an excellent Democratic Republic of Congo side that earned a great second place from a tough group that included Portugal. Wissa has been superb for the DRC. The injury news to Reece James, Declan Rice and Djed Spence is significant but England still have the quality to get over the line. A clean sweep on the prediction market of England to “advance” at -850 suggests that this one is a formality. However, the over-under odds tell a slightly different story with the DRC to win at +1300.

PREDICTION: England 2-1 DRC. They advance in tough fashion.

BELGIUM vs SENEGAL (9PM Seattle, BEL -178 to advance)

Today’s real potential for a surprise and arguably the most even match-up. Belgium’s group was so weak, the two teams that did progress were never under pressure and they stumbled through qualification. Senegal, by contrast, absolutely dominated their final group game and arrive in fine fettle. The prediction market still rates Belgium as favorites, but they’re paying -178 to advance. If you back Belgium on the three-way moneyline, you are getting +115 to win in 90 minutes. That signals a genuine flip.

PREDICTION: Senegal 2-1 Belgium. Today’s upset pick.

USA vs BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA (1AM Santa Clara, USA -750 to advance)

The hosts are expected to come through and it is hard to disagree given their attacking swagger and tactical nous under their new coach Pochettino. Bosnia earned their passage against weaker opposition and did so with very little to spare on their underlying data. The host factor is huge, so even with their record against UEFA opponents a slight concern.

PREDICTION: USA 2-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina. Close, but the USA advances.

TODAY’S UPSET PICK - Senegal 2-1 Belgium

As I say, the field has been thrown wide open with some big teams falling in the group stages and yesterday it’s more of the same when Netherlands lost and Colombia’s performance let them down after their positive group stage. With the likes of France and Brazil looking strong, the chances of another major powerhouse getting eliminated in this stage are certainly real, especially against a talented and well-motivated Senegalese side.
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