Position loss 21%, $GUA short entered at 0.2640, just got pulled up to 0.37 and didn't close, now dropped back to 0.26, down 26% in a day, have to tough it out.


Plan: Hold short at cost 0.2640, stop loss set at 0.2850 (break of previous low support turned resistance), target 0.2400 near previous low for half position take profit, remaining half looking at 0.2200. Position size 15%, don't dare to add.
Prediction for two scenarios: 1. Continued dump: If 0.2400 doesn't hold, with volume expanding, could go straight below 0.2. I will add 5% position short when 0.2400 breaks, with stop loss all moved to cost price. 2. Oversold bounce: 24h from 0.37 to 0.24, a 32% drop, after short selling pressure is released, it may bounce back to 0.28-0.30. If 0.2600 stabilizes and the 15-minute candle closes bullish, I will reduce half the short to lock profits, then wait for a bounce to 0.2780 to re-enter short.
Note: 24h trading volume $20 million, with this size, volatility is intense. Once 0.2400 breaks, it may accelerate. I'd rather miss the bounce than add positions at 0.2640.
On-chain observation: GUA's DEX capital flow net outflow, no whales defending, the short logic still holds. But 0.2400 is a psychological level; if it doesn't break through, it will oscillate for two days, and the short position will have to endure time.
Comment section will update results.
GUA-27.51%
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