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#广场预测世界杯赢40000U So far in this World Cup's first round, the only strong teams to win with more than two goal difference are Germany (7-1 against Curaçao) and Mexico (2-0 in the opening match against South Africa).
All other traditional powerhouses—Spain, Belgium, Brazil, the Netherlands—have failed to win.
Why? Three reasons:
Psychology: Players on strong teams subconsciously think "we can win anyway," so their opening intensity isn't high enough.
Weak teams know that "losing is normal, winning is the bonus," so they fight for every ball.
Tactics: The defensive organization of weak teams has improved significantly over the past four years.
Dense defense + quick counterattacks have become the standard strategy for all weak teams.
Schedule: The top two teams in the group stage automatically advance, and the eight best third-placed teams also qualify.
This means strong teams don't need to fight desperately every game; their margin for error in qualifying is much higher than in previous tournaments.
Tonight, France and Argentina—can they break the curse of "strong teams not winning"?
It's not about strength; it's about mentality.
If Deschamps can push France's players to raise their intensity to the maximum within the first 15 minutes—France could win by more than two goals.
If France starts slow and controls possession like Spain—it's entirely possible to end 1-1 or even 0-1.
The same applies to Argentina.
Messi's presence gives Argentina an additional way to break the deadlock, but if they don't score in the first half, the pressure in the second half will increase exponentially.
All other traditional powerhouses—Spain, Belgium, Brazil, the Netherlands—have failed to win.
Why? Three reasons:
Psychology: Players from strong teams subconsciously think "we can win anyway," so their opening intensity isn't high enough. Weak teams know that "losing is normal, winning is a bonus," and fight for every ball.
Tactics: The defensive organization of weak teams has significantly improved over the past four years. Dense defense + quick counterattacks have become the standard strategy for all weak teams.
Schedule: The top two teams in the group stage advance directly, and the eight best third-placed teams also qualify. This means strong teams don't need to fight desperately every game; their margin for error in qualifying is much higher than in previous tournaments.
Tonight, whether France and Argentina can break the "strong teams don't win" curse isn't about strength—it's about mentality.
If Deschamps can have the French players ramp up the intensity within the first 15 minutes—France wins by 2 or more. If France starts slow and controls possession like Spain—it's entirely possible to end 1-1 or even 0-1.
The same applies to Argentina. Messi's presence gives Argentina an additional way to break deadlocks, but if they don't score in the first half, the pressure in the second half will exponentially increase.