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OMG BANK OF JAPAN RAISED RATES - CRASH IS COMING 🚨🚨🚨
These are the type of titles that clickbaitoors use to push their content on social media.
Please do yourself a favor an unfollow all the people who even hinted something like that.
Last night @Bank_of_Japan_e raised rates and nothing happened, why? Let me explain, because context matters:
-the only BoJ-driven selloff in 3 years was August 2024, and it wasn't because they hiked, it's because they didn't telegraph it properly
-that's called forward guidance, you signal what's coming so traders can prepare and hedge before it lands
-in July 2024 they didn't communicate properly, but they did a surprise hike to 0.25% + a hawkish "more to come" tone → yen rips, carry trades unwind
-and on Aug 5th the Nikkei drops 12% and drags the world down with it, bitcoin:native and altcoins included (a weak US jobs print that same week poured gas on the fire)
-then they learned
0.50% in Jan '25
0.75% in Dec '25
1.00% today
-today is the exact same setup at 1.00%, highest since 1995, fully priced, Ueda flagged it back on June 3rd telegraphed = digested = nothingburger
-three hikes, every one telegraphed, every one a nothingburger, because markets saw them coming, priced them in, moved on
-Being tactically bearish for a while is a position.
Being a permanent doomer farming clickbait titles and preaching recessions for years is a personality.